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  2. Maybe some of them are. I am not sure what you're referring to. I don't follow the METS much but mostly the science nerds. The event itself interests me regardless of outcomes. It is pretty rare. And no one knows how it may or may not affect DEC much, but its certainly not beyond the realm of possibilities that it can. I just think it's wrong to be dogmatic either way. One can speak in probabilities & that's fine but 100% no one knows.
  3. Really depends on cloud cover and rain but otherwise temps are[emoji383] .
  4. The ensembles are a dream for folks who want to see a long, mild fall. I’m a happy camper. .
  5. A certain local PA MET just messaged me on X and said the number that stunned him most in the study was the flip from only 19% of counties showing any statistical warming in PA to with the NCEI adjustments it jumps to 95% of all counties. To quote him "things that make you go hmmm!"
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  7. I’m not saying we won’t get a trough out of it, but I have a big problem with how this it hyped.
  8. High of 71 here today...the air quality taking a dive into "yellow" under the pressure dome. Almost looks like wildfire smoke out there. Fire danger something to watch as well.
  9. Just curious what is state of the El Niño? Is still waining?
  10. SSWs would be more exciting if we knew displaced polar air was headed our way, but we don't, at least not yet. The cold and snow might just as easily wind up elsewhere.
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  13. Makes sense because it's also been too far west, along with everything else...just less so. I'm just saying, it may very well have been best, but it's not perfect.
  14. it’s totally Clickbait aimed to get weenies into subscriptions. Look at how they’re trying to categorize this. They portrayed this like it’s going to lead to some crazy epic winter wx In November.
  15. My latest call as of Latter September was peak RONI between 3 and 3.2 and 3.4 to 3.6 for ONI during NDJ. One final assessment next week.
  16. Got a Hot Chocolate 15K run in Chicago this Sunday. May need to ask for it iced instead haha, didn't think it'd still be this warm
  17. Maybe the EURO is doing better than the guidance continuously underestimating El Niño, but it looks like it's been overshooting to me.
  18. When I posted this, it may of seemed flippant, but I was serious. I will be quite the mix.
  19. Today
  20. Probably my favorite Monday Night Ravens game of all time, lol
  21. That is a good point....like @LakePaste25said, maybe it just means the extreme anomalies are more relegated to the nation's mid-section.
  22. Do you think that dampens any later season correlations?
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