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Yes! Isn't this exciting

100% agree that the GFS has been rocksteady while other models have moved its way. 00z NAM / RGEM / ICON all got close to a GFS outcome, but hit the shore and NE with the best goods. Would be one hell of coup if it’s right. But I’d caution dying on the GFS or bust hill. I’d argue that the euro, while trending better the past 24-36 hours, has been relatively consistent in showing what is interfering with a bomb out solution for our latitude — the trailing energy — albeit to varying degrees. It def shouldn’t be ignored. The western ridge is so so crucial here. My guess is that by 0z tomorrow, we should either see a consensus solution emerge between the two or the euro move closer to the gfs. Would be pretty wild to see the GFS hold this all the way thru but I guess crazier things have happened. PSA - I’m proud to see no LR HRRR or SREF plumes on here. Way to go team.

Anyone got EPS?

Euro is Boxing Day all over again for the Lehigh Valley. Forecast was up to a foot, we only got 2 inches. It’s the first storm that comes to mind when I think of bad busts. I’m too young to remember 2001.

I think this is just a sign that the westerly trend is over and the models will correct back to around where the GFS is. Remember all models trended towards the GFS yesterday 80% models had nothing. We will see by tomorrow but I honestly still think the euro is the most overrated model there is, icon may be better at this point! We'll see but to me it just looks like the west trend is over and they'll just wobble back and forth between GFS and maybe Euro AI solution!

Have we ever had this much disagreement around 36 hours away? Frustrating

I was honestly thinking about this today. Every model run trends worse. For at least the last 10 years. But not this one. I hope I didnt jinxed it

We got you l'il dude. I appreciate your enthusiasm and your PBP. I am old but when I see your posts vs Randy's, it's like a Spike Chester thing (IYKYN). Keep going!

BREAKING NEWS… Bolaris heard hysterically laughing and running away from ECM super computer bldg.‼️

i know it's copium but euro did this last 0z suite too

even though the Euro was a step back, I think its a better hit than the QPF maps suggest

GFS has been rock steady with this storm. No flip flopping like the other models. I give a little more credence to that….

I'm talking what counts, snowfall in our back yards.

US is hogging the good data

Leting one ru determine that is crazy after the good trends on other models

GFS/NAM/ICON/UKMET Vs ECM/RGEM/CMC Let the games begin!

I don't remember this ever happening inside 48 hours when every model trended better for an entire day

Ukie looked close with the low placement...

They kind of do just given how delicate the set up is. There's some kind of bifurcation point here and we're riding the boundary line of that

Idk bro I would call 2-4” a non-event after the potential we have seen all day.

Do we have any real meteorologists here currently to give us their input ?

None of the foreign models have been all in like the Gfs/Nam and other short range US models. Jma isn't that great either and not worth posting.

Definitely a step back on the 0z Euro & AI Euro as well. At least the AI Euro still gets low end Warning snow to the LSV.

Not that the ensembles matter much at this juncture, but curious if the OP is east of the eps mean

Keep the euro in the binding agent factory?