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Mount Holly's take for tonight. Pretty much ditto for tomorrow night for here, with a solid dusting to an inch or 2 possible up into east central/NE PA. Skies will be mainly clear early, however will see a thickening and lowering in cloud cover after midnight as a strong, quick- moving shortwave approaches. This wave will be lacking moisture in the low levels as it treks east but may remain strong enough in the mid levels to overcome the dry air in place over the Mid- Atlantic. So, while there may be a slight chance (~20%) of snow showers near the I-95 corridor, have opted to at least include the mention of flurries areawide during the 4 AM to 10 AM timeframe on Wednesday. Outside of a light dusting in isolated areas, no accumulation is expected. Lows will be in the low to mid 20s with wind chills in the teens for the majority of the area, with mid to upper teens and wind chills in the single digits in the higher terrain.

The rollercoaster ride that keeps on giving

I keep refreshing hoping for that 500mb ripple showing up in the four corners region to develop but so far, nothing.

Absolutely. Some folks completely out to lunch. They think they live in British Columbia, or the inter mountain west, or maybe central Quebec. It was a great autumn…perfect actually with the step down. November got increasingly colder, and December has been quite wintry, especially compared to previous years. There’s always gonna be haves and have nots. Very Late January and February 2015 was incredible, until you got to WOR…then it wasn’t incredible for us…but it’s just how it goes. We were the have nots during that period. So I get it.

CPC just came in with crushing news for snow weenies across most of the US. Warm and mild, only colder pockets here in the northeast. Looks like pushing the ridge out over Central US was just temporary. Most of CONUS goes right back to warmer temperatures and that forecast is for 1/8-1/13. Most will have to punt first half of January. Never a good sign imo

If it’s Stormy it’s definitely very limp.

18z GFS bumped up precip a bit from 12z run.

You've convinced me to open a twitter account so I can make forecasting calls.

@ravensruleyou agree?

Not much on the snow maps but simulated radar shows possible flakes both tomorrow morning and NYD in parts of the area

Technically.... 0.1"

This is a limp grasp at a shadow.............................

Reggie holds the course for 1-4 for all of SNE

At hour 0, no change from the 12Z at 500mb.

Yeah I don't know what else to say. I mean December was not bad overall and it could have been worse. Sure I guess we could have had more snow given how cold it was and yes some areas got more than others, but it wasn't a shutout and nobody got shutout. Were people expecting 20-30"? We get snow...people complain because it wasn't enough, we don't get snow and people complain. People want snow and there are offerings of potential and people complain. I don't even know what the expectations are anymore lol

You lost everybody on that first sentence. What a crock of complete crap.

Alright guys. HH GFS is about to run. It was what renewed our hopes yesterday. And honestly? Please stop with the cliff jumping. It's kinda ridiculous.

Bottom line, it’s a pretty nice look…despite the BS that some are spewing.

Just snowed close to 9” here. Full cover and frozen solid, and 26 degrees..Speak for your own area.

Don, where does 2025-26 sit now in your winter severity index?

The 10 - 15 day features moisture trying to move northeast from the lower Mississippi valley. Confluence with LP over S.E Canada suppresses.

Temperatures briefly moderated in southwestern Manitoba, s SK and North Dakota, generally a little above freezing today, back into the deep freeze up there tonight. The milder air is making limited inroads into nw Ontario and Winnipeg region has warmed only into the mid-20s (F).

18z RGEM gets the low going a little sooner and north. 3-5” for SE Mass and cape. I’d take it

What’s measurable? A dusting? I’m not sure there’s going to be a lot of 1” or more amounts unless we get the secondary assist