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Clouds like to hang around the Catoctin's on the tail end of systems as residual energy moves through, regardless of whether it's a dry front or not.

+correlation. Dec and March are about 60% probability of the same NAO state as November, January is 50% and February is 52%.

How does a cold November with -AO/NAO correlate to winter?

Agree. That favors a +NAO as most here know. If something shakes up that area and it cools drastically then things could be different.

My guess would be some kind of cambium damage runnig up the tree and some black mold growing in the crevice. Is the base of that tree actually two trees that merged?

Sunday should be even warmer

That's good. Dry out some of these fallen leaves to make it easier to clean up. I need a warm day Saturday, dry would be a bonus.

wow my sister was born 12/29

Walt we had about an inch of snow here on Long Island on the final day of the storm when it stalled again, this time near Cape Cod

December's storm had historic storm surge and had far more impact than that socalled Superstorm in March.

This has about the same chance of happening as the Mets winning the WS

I think it's better if the rains are spaced out by at least a week. It rained for 4 days here. I like frontal passages for NJ, you'll get most of the rain there, they dry out when they get to Long Island. Best for both lol.

With the 660hr cfs having the same accuracy as 360hr gfs, seems reasonable. Maybe we should be conservative and wait until it's under 500hrs on the cfs and the 384hr gfs extrapolates properly.

he also doesn't think 1993 was all that hot lol we lived through 1993 we know exactly how hot it was

this is okay, NJ gets more rain from frontal passages than we do anyway we get the most rain from coastal storms they get the most rain from cutters and frontal passages.

Football during the winter is definitely MUCH better than football in the summer Every year we hear about kids dying in the South playing football in August =\

the only way everyone will be happy is if we somehow figure out a way to neutralize the earth's axial tilt lol

cellphone use in school has now been banned statewide

18z gfs most likely solution for tropical.

why can't we spray pesticides to destroy these pests? there must be some concoction of toxic chemicals that could exterminate them

Maybe we just shouldn't be trading with those countries Invasive species cause a lot of destruction.

the stink bug! the spotted lanternfly!

what torch lol, the humidity was low the weather was great true misery was the days of clouds and winds

it was colder than this in 1999 though JFK: 37 (1999) after yet another super hot and very dry summer

1987 - Unseasonably cold weather continued in the eastern U.S., with thirteen cities reporting record low temperatures for the date. The low of 34 degrees at Montgomery AL was their coldest reading of record for so early in the season. Lows of 32 degrees at Harrisburg PA and 34 degrees at Parkersburg WV marked their third straight morning of record cold. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - The cold high pressure system responsible for the record low temperatures in the eastern U.S. began to move out to sea, giving way to a trend toward "Indian Summer". Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced golf ball size hail at Altamont KS and hail two inches in diameter at Yates City IL. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) wow cold in both 1987 and 1988?? 1876: Snow fell on the backside of a coastal storm from Virginia to New England. New York City, NY had its earliest 32° temperature and a half inch of snow. Fall River, MA reported 3.5 inches of snow. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) our earliest 32 degree temperature, I would have thought it would be earlier than this....