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  2. stormy
    The desired pattern occured in 2009 - 2010 when we had an AO at -2.0 and a - AO of 3.50. Will this ever happen again with an El Nino of +1.5???
  3. A-L-E-K
    Euro selling 70s
  4. CAPE
    Some here don't recognize a simple troll job when they see it lol.
  5. DocATL
    Serotonin surge as I walked to my car from my clinic. We could be looking at a very comfortable Halloween.
  6. ChescoWx
    Thank you Canderson!!! You and me both let's keep these kind of posts out of this forum!! Most folks could care less about climate change or alarmism etc.! Thanks again!!
  7. ChescoWx
    Again you are using altered post hoc data that is not the actual raw historical data....
  8. steve392
    Definitely a chilly one. Was kinda cold getting out of work at 6am.
  9. forkyfork
  10. MJO812
  11. Today
  12. LakePaste25
    I can’t speak for people speaking in absolutes. My position/prediction is that the pattern will be unfavorable the vast majority of the time. Not going to sugar coat that part. Also won’t say “it won’t ever snow.” I don’t even do snow predictions on a seasonal scale, not my thing or main area of interest.
  13. CAPE
    More times than not, a -AO and a -NAO occur simultaneously. Probably more so in Nino. -AO tends to bring the colder air southward instead of keeping it bottled up well north- which is obv important- but a NAO block tends to lock in cold HP in an ideal spot for coastal storms.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotcha, my bad there.
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  16. CAPE
    Yes. Perfect track Miller A rainstorms.
  17. WEATHER53
    The main thing is that Miller A’s will make their return and instead of 0-1 this season we will have 6-8
  18. cleetussnow
    I’m trynna come up with a snarky remark to this post - which is interesting - but I am hungover and just not on all 8 today. Sorry to let you down boys and girls.
  19. canderson
    Can y’all please take this shit to the correct forum? I’m a staunch climate change believer but even I’m like, please lord.
  20. weatherwiz
    I can dig 30s at night and then 50s and 60s during the day...preferably 60s but keep this going through November.
  21. Itstrainingtime
    Sigh.
  22. SnoSki14
    Ensembles hinting at wetter pattern 1st week of November. Maybe first signs of the wetter super Nino pattern?
  23. ChescoWx
    Go check it out under the appropriate thread - thanks again PSU!
  24. ChescoWx
    The data is now in the appropriate thread - now let the good folks here go back to their autumn obs!! thanks!
  25. Cobalt
    September, 2026 data has come in for Yellow Medicine County, Minnesota. With an average temperature of 65.3F, the county (population 9,477) experienced its 12th warmest September on record, but the coldest since 2022.
  26. ChescoWx
    Nope! The raw September trend for 1895–2025 is +0.13°F per decade, and it is not statistically significant (p ≈ 0.10; 95% range −0.03 to +0.29°F per decade). Series °F/decade 95% range p Raw September, 1895–2025 +0.13 ±0.16 0.10, not significant
  27. ChescoWx
    the altered data adds 60% more warming than the actual data.....
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