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  2. MJO812
    Defintely
  3. RU848789
    Almost all of the AI models (AIFS, AIGFS, Weathernext) support at least a 2-4" event area-wide, so while the GFS may be on steroids (like the GRAF), this support plus the fact that almost every other model not from Canadia now shows a 1-2/1-3" kind of event (NAM3km, NAM, ICON, UK at least) tells me that a 1-3" event is now a reasonable guesstimate with 3-6" on the table and <1" still on the table too. A miss/scrape is a bad call right now.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it may be dicier down there, but I'm not paying much attention to that area.
  5. LordBaltimore
    Down to 19 here. Wasn't expecting it to radiate like this before the torch tomorrow. nice surprise
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, tell your boy, not me.
  7. MJO812
    Uh? There is alot to track.
  8. MJO812
    There will be plenty to track after this weekends system.
  9. Kevin Reilly
    So glad my car went through the car wash too.
  10. TJW014
    Steve DiMartino is getting dragged through the wringer in wxTwitter
  11. RU848789
    UK with significant improvement in snowfall at 0Z, like most models so far...
  12. Duca892
    EURO either gonna come in like a wet blanket or an absolute dream boat. Never thought we would have a storm within 48hrs to randomly track. so glad I never said winter was over
  13. NorthShoreWx
    Snowman19 is using his limited posts to flood Anthony's zone with alternative facts.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Point is it wasn't sarcasm..it was a genuine sentiment.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love the football spiking for a model run that has like 1-3" in the southwest corner of the region.
  16. Snowcrazed71
    I know that, bit they didn't ...
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, not for NYC, I agree.
  18. SnoSki14
    Good luck with that. Not much to track on the models after this system. At least that's what they're showing tonight for next week.
  19. Steve25
    Since 2016 in February, BWI has had less than an inch four times. Between 1-3 inches three times. Then the others were 3.8, 5, and 6.1. Just for good measure since 2016 in March, BWI has went 2.3, 2.5, 6.7, 2.7, 0, 0, 0.4, trace, trace, trace. So yeah since 2016 our February and March finishes to winter have been atrocious.
  20. Boston Bulldog
    I don’t really buy the late week systems getting shredded to the extent modeling currently depicts. Shortwave buckshot within the chaotic synoptic soup is likely causing issues within modeling of vorticity. One packet should consolidate and push farther north/coherent than operational modeling is currently showing, though the blocking does put a cap on the peak latitude
  21. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah and? Euro had a major storm that cycle. And the AIs did not, i knew the Euro op would waffle like that, but I never gave up fully on the threat of something like a scraper.
  22. mattinpa
    Interesting tonight but I’m also not buying it yet.
  23. NorthShoreWx
    Syosset, NY, 2/12/1983: Bronx, NY (Riverdale) 2/12/1983: More: https://www.northshorewx.com/19830211.html
  24. jm1220
    I agree, we need pronounced shifts in all the major guidance at this point toward a phase. We're 48 hours out.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    No-I'm not. I can't wait until this passes so this thread can focus on storms that are threats to New England.
  26. mattinpa
    When you gave up on the storm I thought it was done, but last second trends have happened before. Was hoping for better from the CMC. We need bigger shifts at this point.
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