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Not sure the NW precip expansion is quite done yet. Pretty good chance an inch+ makes it to I-95 or a bit NW.

Looks like a 2-5 incher on SV. But that's not Kuchera and sv maps are awful

C'mon Baja Blast

Chuck/North Arlington system looks steady at 198. What's your take Randy? Ninja'd

It's a modest hit so far. 207, Jan 25. a lil more along the M/D line and over to Cape

So, it looks good on approach, but we all know how it has gone in the past...shit just falls apart as it gets closer. I can't see where this is going rn

Looks kinda similar to the Jan 5-6, 2025 storm at the surface

I would like to know where the 03z RAP went to party at.

The main system is building up off the Baja at 186

This Thursday/Friday stretch has certainly been looking like the top period to target for turns over the past week or so, and it seems like the storm delivered about what the weather models predicted for the Northern Greens. Here in the valley, the system delivered 0.34” of liquid equivalent, so with the mountains perhaps getting twice that amount at elevation, that’s a decent resurfacing. I headed up to Bolton Valley this morning for a tour, so I can report on some of the conditions there. I had planned on Friday morning to get out for turns with this storm, but the downside was that frigid air was returning on the back side of this system. By the time I ascended to the Bolton Valley Village this morning, the temperature had dropped to 0 F, and there were winds of 10 to 20 MPH, putting wind chill values around -20 F. Needless to say, with those temperatures and winds, my plan was to tour instead of riding the lifts. My ski tour was in the 2,000’ to 2,700’ elevation range today using the Wilderness Uphill Route, and as discussed earlier in the thread, there was a definite benefit to getting up toward that elevation where the storm was 100% snow and all that liquid equivalent was put toward resurfacing. Below is the elevation profile I observed today for today for total powder depths; essentially everything below roughly 2,000’ only caught accumulations from when the snow levels finally dropped to the valleys, which typically meant an inch or two of new snow. It’s easy to see how static the accumulations were below approximately 2,000’: 340’: 1-2” 500’: 1-2” 1,000’: 1-2” 1,500’: 2” 2,000’: 4-5” 2,500’: 5-7” 2,700’: 7-8” I wouldn’t be surprised if powder depths continued to increase a bit more as one headed up toward 3,000’, but I didn’t get a chance to head that high today. Bolton Valley was reporting 7 inches of new snow in the past 48 hours in their snow report, so that’s probably an approximate number for their storm total, and thus this storm was likely a substantial contributor to the total powder that’s out there right now above the subsurface snow. Obviously, there were decent turns to be had all the way from 2,000’ and above, but the quality of the powder and potential for bottomless turns was definitely best above 2,500’ – that’s probably getting in the range where most of the liquid equivalent from the storm fell as snow. Low-angle terrain was good to go anywhere above 2,000’, but once you were above 2,500’, even medium-angle terrain was coming into play for bottomless turns. If options exist for hitting upper-mountain lifts or lapping/touring from 2,500’ and above, I’d recommend that to get in the best turns. What really surprised me today was that despite air temperatures of 0 F and below, the snow was still quite decent with respect to its glide. Sometimes these cold temperatures simply wreck the glide, but depending on the snow’s crystal structure, density, composition, etc. sometimes the glide holds up, and today was apparently one of those days. There’s more snow moving in tonight with one system, and then another system moving in Monday into Tuesday, so there should continue to be some pretty decent turns in low-traffic areas at those higher elevations.

Hasn't snowed here since very early this morning, as we've been sort of in between all of the rotating bands. Should finally get into another period of light snow early tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully we can scrounge up another turd dusting from that.

Cheers!

I thought it looked good going forward?

So some moisture gathering in the center part of the country. H5 looked promising, but that wave is kinda getting pancaked as it progress out of the mountain west

A lot of meso And short range guidance is keeping the bulk of the snow tomorrow I PA. Short terms trends not looking great for the NNJ area. Time will tell

You know, considering that what we had a couple of days ago was nothing but white with a few dots of 0.1, I'll take it. At least someone is going to cash in.

This might end up being a huge AI victory here. It hardly wavered last 3 days and sniffed it out beyond 5 days. Loving my spot here west of Rehoboth Beach.

I will never doubt a storm named after you again. I am holding the faith! Looking forward to snapping some picks at the boardwalk Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Yeah, I think it’s fair to say ice will be a limiting factor for LES for the foreseeable figure. It should still be open enough for significant snow Sunday through the first half of next week, but a majority of that will probably go into western NY. There is a window Monday into Monday night for a more westerly flow to try to push lake effect into the northern portions of the primary NE Ohio snowbelt. Interesting signal for some convective snow showers with the cold front later tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Wouldn’t add up to all that much, but someone could get a nice snow squall.

Nah, but that funky ass GFS will show one

GFS has an interesting look out west at h5. DO NOT read too much into that. Just has players out there more so than 18z. Let's see if we can thread the needle, which I CANNOT tell as of now

Pretty sizable shift on 00Z GEFS. Advisory snows in SEMA.

HECS? Pattern has potential but not sure that level system is in the cards.

@Ellinwood map looking pretty good.

How often do we get cold front snows anyway?