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  2. WB 6Z AI EPS has lots of hits to our south in the extended. Not a shut out look.
  3. So finally creeped just above freezing yesterday with a 33.0 high first time in 10 days. Was above 32 for about an hour. With only 10 mph winds it felt like 60 lol. MUCH warmer overnight, never went below 20 degrees here, that also is a first in about 10 days.
  4. Looks like the main PV lobe is headed to Asia. Looks like the airmass grows rather stale on this side of the hemisphere beyond about Feb 10th.
  5. Looks like 2-3 on euro Friday night with more on cstl PYM county.
  6. Mood flakes are flying here. Nice size flakes. Good call, SnowNuts.
  7. I guess I sensed an optimistic tone in your interpretation. Agree concerning volatility, but I think the correction vector in terms of at least the middle third of the month is warmer. Hopefully I'm wrong.
  8. I am somewhat intrigued by the AI more wintry scenarios and the ensembles included. They’ve performed well lately.
  9. Yeah. Hopefully it's a quick relaxation rather than a 2 week+ change that would come close to closing down the 2026 snow season lol. For MBY I kind of want the moisture first and hope temps work. Probably the opposite of the low lands. My area has gotten burnt the last several years from south and east storm tracks. I'm not really sure what to root for anymore honestly lol.
  10. If that Fri night low digs that far south.. it’s gonna snow
  11. Oh snap !! When you and blizz team up, for a good one, I expect at least 3 solid inches.
  12. NWS had my only chance at breaking freezing to be today. Yesterday they had me at 33 for the high. today they throttled it back down to mood flakes and 26. Despite the "boring" cold, we have a decent chance at statewide flakes friday and wont see above freezing for the next 7-8 days. Solid winter continues. Thanks for saving what you gave us Mo Nature.
  13. Optimism? Just my interpretation. The way LR models flip there is zero Optimism.
  14. I'm sorta done with the cold, but gladly take some more sn as we head towards the backside of winter
  15. Rapid Reaction: A Statewide Snowstorm for the Ages - North Carolina State Climate Office
  16. Yea heights around 540 instead of 520 but with SWFE implications. Looking forward to a warm up
  17. here's your VD transmission day event in the Canadian ensemble. GEFs and EPS have nothing coherent above the background static noise left over after the big bang for their handling between the 14 and 15th. The numerical indices have no interest, either. In fact, -d(PNA), +EPO, neutralizing NAO support at minimum alleviation of cold. I think we're seeing that pretty clearly enough in the general cinemas of the operational models out there toward the middle of the month. There is/was one operational run, the 06z GFS, as I'm sure this remarkable storm attentive group of people have already exposed. So, it is what is for the time being. Not much support from most of what's out there, with a short list of sources doing more.
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