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Yes...the older you get, the more perceptive you are of the passage of time, but having children definitely amplifies it.

No blocking. Its all fast flow. Hudson Bay is ice free still this late for the first time ever which is also modifying the airmasses.

Yeah, I think I can be flexible. Either way too.

We should grab lunch on your way back Sunday....you will be passing right by.

Strengthening La Niña background state with the falling AAM heading into mid-December leading to the very amplified Aleutian Ridge and -PNA trough.

Anecdotally I didn’t notice any vast disparity between Cville modeled totals and reality. All I learned is that they really need a new radar there and that it’s a mini-supercell alley just to the north. Go get a snowy Rotunda pic and hike the O Hill trails. Godspeed - think ur good for 1-2”

Jesus time flies man, really started noticing when I had kids, my oldest who was a baby yesterday, is now nearly as tall as I am..

There is now a tie for the 6th and 13th, so if we feel like more can do the 13th, IDC either way.

I started in September 2006....so going on 20 years for me. I know Will and Jerry have been kicking around a couple of years longer.

I'd be careful just using a daily SOI value to assess. Not saying it isn't tanking (haven't looked lately) but those daily values can be heavily influenced by local weather phenomena and weather systems.

maybe both of them together can find a nut?

(Southern oscillation index?)…And what is the significance of that actually on the pattern? If any?

Frost and low of 25

We don’t know how to CAD any more. That’s my biggest gripe. Idgaf what anyone says about the pacific, storm track yada yada yada. The biggest thorn in our side these past few years comes down to the fact that a high pressure greater than 1032 doesn’t exist any more. If it does, it’s moving at break neck speed into the Atlantic. Yall are going to hear a lot of complaining from me today, sorry lol. Just getting it out here instead of the main thread.

I technically live in New England. However my climate is much closer to central park than Boston.

Do you know any resources I could use to see and possibly anticipate how much down sloping to expect (besides annoying my resident professor on microclimates which I plan to do)?

Euro OP has been horrendous lately it seems, let's hope GFS has a clue..

I went 19-29" for you guys, so kind of the middle of those years.

This “event” tomorrow is among the most frustrating just because it’s in the low 20s less than 24 hours before the precip moves in and we rain?

SOI value this morning. -43.70 Tanking

SOI value this morning. -43.70 Tanking

Mighty frosty on my morning walk. Im calling it a trace

-7 at the house. Got a -14 on the car thermometer at the local low spot. Winter is here, glad it matches the time of year I’m most excited for it

the HRRR isn't the 6z debacle