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I had to this past summer when there was a software issue . It’s always been dead nuts accurate . In icing events for example with zr involved. It’s simply an extreme example of a microclimate. Almost same elevation as ORH and typically very similar temperatures especially on fake radiating nights. I mean there has not been any frost this fall. Not on cars or rooftops

ORH was 34° so I don’t think his station is too far off

Not sure if this Capital Weather link was already shared, but Boom or Bust seems to be the theme for the upcoming winter.... https://www.capitalweather.com/boom-or-bust-five-experts-reveal-their-dc-winter-snow-predictions/

There was a 1400’ site out there at 42°.

Low of 33 in Marysville. Another beautiful weekend is upon us! So, what did I miss yesterday on here, lol?

Serious question, when was the last time you tuned up your station and verified it was calibrated correctly. It wouldn’t change the overall issue but I’m curious.

Thanks Dream! excellent post and great points! I like you was on the opposite side of the fence but switched to the more benign view of CC. Just to be clear I of course believe in Climate Change that is scientific fact! I simply believe in the cyclical version plus I don't buy the one way ticket to boiling etc. that some of the more passionate alarmists lean into.

October 24 1922: A powerful low pressure system over Minnesota brings 55 mph winds to Collegeville. For Saturday, October 24, 2026 1785 - A four day rain swelled the Merrimack River in New Hampshire and Massachusetts to the greatest height of record causing extensive damage to bridges and mills. (David Ludlum) 1878 - A hurricane produced widespread damage across North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. At Philadelphia PA, the hurricane was the worst of record. (David Ludlum) 1937 - A snow squall in Buffalo NY tied up traffic in six inches of slush. (David Ludlum) 1947 - The Bar Harbor holocaust occurred in Maine when forest fires consumed homes and a medical research institute. The fires claimed 17 lives, and caused thirty million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1951 - Sacramento, CA, reported a barometric pressure of 29.42 inches, to establish a record for October. (The Weather Channel) 1969 - Unseasonably cold air gripped the northeastern U.S. Lows of 10 degrees at Concord, NH, and 6 degrees at Albany NY established October records. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Snow fell across northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin overnight, with five inches reported at Poplar Lake MN and Gunflint Trail MN. Thunderstorm rains caused flash flooding in south central Arizona, with street flooding reported around Las Vegas NV. Strong northwesterly winds gusting to 50 mph downed some trees and power lines in western Pennsylvania and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong winds circulating around a deep low pressure centered produced snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region, with six inches reported at Ironwood MI. Wind gusts to 80 mph were reported at State College PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A storm in the western U.S. produced up to three feet of snow in the mountains around Lake Tahoe, with 21 inches reported at Donner Summit. Thunderstorms in northern California produced 3.36 inches of rain at Redding to establish a 24 hour record for October, and bring their rainfall total for the month to a record 5.11 inches. Chiefly "Indian Summer" type weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 70s and 80s. Record highs included 74 degrees at International Falls MN, and 86 degrees at Yankton SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Hurricane Wilma reached the U.S. coastline near Everglades City in Florida with maximum sustained winds near 120 mph. The hurricane accelerated across south Florida and the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area, exiting the coast later the same day. There were 10 fatalities in Florida, and nearly 6 million people lost power, the most widespread power outage in Florida history. Preliminary estimates of insured losses in Florida were over $6 billion, while uninsured losses were over $12 billion. Observances: 24 Sat Stock Market Crash 24 Sat National Bologna Day 24 Sat National Make A Difference Day 24 Sat World Development Information Day 24 Sat United Nations Day 24 Sat World Polio day 24 Sat Disarmament Week 24 Sat My Best Winter Skin Day 24 Sat National Food Day 24 Sat National Jamaican Jerk Day 24 Sat National Senior UTI Awareness Day 24 Sat World Tripe Day

Lows this morning ranged from the upper 20's to lower 40's depending on elevation. Most valley spots saw temperatures below freezing this morning.

Lows this morning ranged from the upper 20's to lower 40's depending on elevation. Most valley spots saw temperatures below freezing this morning.

This extreme warmth is about to be realized at the surface come December. The +4C December peak being shown by the EURO is absolutely believable and very likely

Special place there. You still growing and blooming? Was at my cousins yesterday in the Lordship neighborhood right next to BDR. Legit looked like summer there still. Full blooms everywhere. Neighbor had a full vegetable garden still going strong.

28.7F. Measured 0.01" on the frost board. It's all we got.

That Tolland municipal site is literally 2 minutes away down the hill on Tolland Green. My first house was there in town . It’s 650’ and sis between my hill and Bald Hill which is closer to 1100’ . They were 27 this morning while I was sitting at 38

I bet Mohawk Mtn in NW CT was similar to me

Bottomed out at 33F with plenty of frost.

No! A major gulf of alaska low is getting a bad rap repeated into the ground by everyone because a handful of Strong Nino analogs were like that. ENSO does not significantly stretch wavelengths. What you are actually seeing there is a skewed sample, and that's because it's a small sample! I've plotted the Winter pattern 100 times, not 5, and the mean is average temps from DC to NYC, below average in Richmond. With -AO/NAO it's a solidly below average temp pattern.. as long as the -H5 doesn't extend into Alaska. A +EPO is a much different story.

DT

We had one around the same time last year. They've happened in October in before. I use 9/30 as the "starting date" for potential Stratosphere warming/coolings. I think there are 10 somewhat significant + events in October since 1948.

Low of 25.7

34° with heavy frost this morning in the Valley. It's going to be a beautiful day for the Bluegrass Festival!

El Nino's favor Stratosphere warmings, so I think given 100 examples the El Nino tendency is -nao, -ao. Strong -QBO in 09-10 really pushed that tendency further. West-based Nino/Strong -QBO.. yeah give me that Winter