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Last 4 runs is a clear and impactful shift though. Kinda looking at that and not the end result.

I think rate matters because as lows rapidly deepen they tend to get pulled to the H5 low. And in this case because it can’t move much in latitude it gets pulled west before the whole thing unravels and it gets booted ENE.

NAM skill in this range is vaguely dependable at best.

Nice 18z GEFS uptick in the snow map to correspond with the low clusters.

Lousy wave spacing there.

Icon going to be closer at 0z but was pretty crappy at 18z

No defense mechanism here. I literally agreed with him that we need another bump NW, Euro is more east than the NAM. I would be saying the same shit if the NAM showed a monster 2 foot blizzard.

Remember the ICON led the way a few days ago with showing a blizzard?

I forgot that existed

Can't gauge the rest of the 0z suite off the Nam anyways as its in la la land.

Well, that was a much better run than 18z.....just not there yet.

Is a lottle more than a little? Like a 'lot' better?

Which is why I'd like to keep the NAM around for a long time

Fv3 at 60 isnt as diggy with the lead shortwave so the trailing one has more of a chance to catch it and phase.

Exactly, Were on the same page.

Really liking both Icon and Rgem at h5. Good trends

The NAM disparaging seems like a defense mechanism because it matches the EURO and GFS pretty well.

ICON seems to look a lottle better at the surface to my novice eye...

Go big or go home. Gimme the 24"

Icon looks different at 500

But that's very valuable

Euro ensembles Heatmap of relative low pressure density. First 12z, second 18z, 3rd is heatmap of change Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Yup, I prefer off of s NJ or Delmarva....but that has been a theme this season.