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Why the hell not, I was all for starting a thread for a random date in winter and gassing it up for no reason

Bro go to bed

so anybody staying up until 2am lol

https://media.tenor.com/2739Fe1Wj-QAAAAM/whomp-whomp.gif

Models don't usually correct significantly when there is a PNA projected to be -2 to -3 for an extended period of time. Sometimes you will trend toward a better polar orientation (more -EPO), but that doesn't favor deep cold/snow, it just mutes the warmup.

f the Euro

Latest Lwx map now adv are up

In terminator we trust…”the snow will be baaack!”

Looks like WWA hoisted for you so thats a start! I'd rather be on the N side of the QPF axis. S side is gonna be a brutal cut off.

It would be pretty amusing if we come out of the cold period that was hyped up quite a bit with very little snow and then find a way to squeeze a legit snowstorm into this upcoming pattern

After bottoming out to 15 earlier, up to 21 now (in line with model/forecast).

Shows us getting smoked probably so had to challenge the run and have the refs review

Its a tough call period. Banding could be an issue as the S Mountain area favors that the last few years. I got nearly 16 inches a few years ago while other got less than 6 inches. Either way it goes, the snow will immediately stick given given how cold it is right now. The big tell, is how cold and dry it is right now 14 degrees at my house with dew points in the single digits. That is a hell of lot of dry air to overcome in this typical alberta clipper. I expect a lot of virga. That is why this event is a wait and see game if the moisture gets more involved with this clipper before the shortwave digs in off the coast.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1239 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ053-054-131345- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0100Z-251214T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 1239 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Localized totals of 4 to 5 inches are possible, especially across Baltimore and northeastern Maryland. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central and northern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and visibility less than one half mile. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

Yeah. Probably actually showed snow in the MA.

Delayed due to a data issue. Not worth staying up for

Euro dead on SV too

Advisories up. Yoda slacking fr

The Euro doesn't wanna run on wxbell or pivotal lol

0z GFS christmas miracle... they sniff the big ones out early lol

If we get 5” of snow, I’ll streak around my apt complex.

0z model suite...quit the changes. GFS got on board with strat warming event that clearly is the cause for the bridge block late in run as it couples with troposphere: 10mb 50mb I'd say that was the reason the 18z AI -Euro model had a massive bridge blocking:

I don't think JB moves NG. There is a trend in models tonight for the N. Pacific ridge to be more -EPO. Let's see how that goes, it is the seasonal trend since Aug/Sept. If models keeping progressing from -PNA to -EPO this weekend, NG may open up on Sunday.

Lol