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  2. Surely the fact that we are all a bunch of hysterical loons isn't part of any good policy analysis. More information is more information. We might not be able to resist the allure of overreaction, but surely a professional just waits and looks at a few runs, and the information is more current, and the effect is the same. I mean, I've seen people on here saying why hasn't box done x y or z, when their information doesn't match, and they are clearly just waiting for more info to confirm, rather than oversteering.
  3. Reflection off the moon. Unless it's a New Moon, then we're in business.
  4. How do you know it's out of step? Did the event happen already?
  5. I understand the HRRR is not reliable at HR 48, if ever, but seems to be showing an amped solution.
  6. Why are you comparing hrrr at 48 to those? May as well compare hrrr at 48 to gfs at 384
  7. And like Upton said we should have more data in these runs
  8. Just wana get nammed one more time before it dissolves .
  9. As you probably know, hrrr isn’t comparable with the globals because it isn’t a global model. But same goes for the nam, which we do pbp on anyway
  10. 0z 12K Nam ramping up the qpf again
  11. Huge positive difference with the northern stream compared to past runs and confluence moving out faster.
  12. Don’t forget warm grounds, recently warmer temperatures, and the increased sun angle will cut these snow totals in half.
  13. LVIA is at 31 or something season to date. LVIA only recorded 11.8 last storm (which I think was skewed but whatever) .
  14. I feel like it’s been a while since we had a system eject from the 4 corners region out west. I vaguely remember data sampling issues with those systems.
  15. That snow line is essentially I-90 Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
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