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Welp…certainly wouldn’t be surprising as that’s been par for the course for years now but man that would stink given how high the potential is with the overall setup.
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70 and sunny incoming. You all thought it was gonna snow here? LOL.
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Well another awful night of modeling and time is running out
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
TORCH! -
Euro keeps the northern stream in the way.
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Euro went to the crapper. The northern stream is screwing us again.
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they call the euro dr. no for a reason
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But can already tell, Euro is a whole lot of nothing. For both.
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You don't think he wasn't watching?
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wtf is up with these skipping panels on the models lately. SV is particularly bad with the GFS. goes from like 210 to 252
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AH, you show up for the bad stuff
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Geez not even close
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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euro is a miss for jan 15
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The Euro AI solution is closest to the GFS except it doesn't become a wrapped up bomb along the coast like the GFS and lacking the dynamics to draw in the colder air to produce frozen it is mainly rain right along the coast
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Looks like the EuroAI likes the inland route for storm 2.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
See I told you the 18z gfs 1/9/26 would be 100% different at 0z! So, where is the cold high up north? Hmm I mean however a 983mb storm would manufacture its own cold air. Let’s go!!! Now back on the ground I need to see this at least for 6 runs on at least 3 different models before I do the snowy dance. It’s a shame the gfs is on an island by itself. I’m not buying it, but fun to look at and reminisce about winters of the past. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I stuck up for you bro this afternoon…but somebody deleted my post. Keep posting. Anybody with a brain…knows you’re not wishcasting. Great analysis all the time. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Can you stream that? If it happens of course. -
GFS ensemble does not agree with the OP on the shortwave getting cutoff out west for the 2nd storm. Best snow means yet for that one.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Let’s do it -
Warm tongue off the Atlantic.
- Today
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at this point it is not possible to determine which model solution if any of them will be close to verifying - but there are vast differences in solutions now past 5 days - until a couple of them get to the point of basic agreement - confidence will increase probably in another 2 or 3 days. It was amazing though how far in advance they agreed on the current systems moving through especially the cold front sweeping across the nation scheduled to pass later Sunday - they had that solution for several days now.
