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Decent storm here earlier with solid winds (albeit not at severe level) and heavy rain. Recent rains have done wonders to my lawn, which up to about 10 days ago looked like the Sahara desert.
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.42” today. This Summer has been much more wetter than the previous two ones. Grass is looking good and not crunchy this year.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Of course its reasonable. I haven't seen anyone say or imply otherwise for the GL/NE. However, the discussion that... it probably wont be record warm or a wall to wall torch, and that there isnt a linear correlation of the stronger the nino to the warmer the winter...is very triggering for some. -
A few showers or thundershowers are possible this evening and early tonight. Tomorrow will be another very warm day. Above normal temperatures will persist through Wednesday or Thursday. Highs will generally top out in the middle and upper 80s. Cooler air will move into the region to close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was +2.00 today. That ended the 91-day streak during which the SOI was negative. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.138 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
VivaManchVegas replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Down with that. Torch in September and October, nothing like July. Usually short lived but enjoyable. -
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I can get some nice shots here with the wide open, flat landscape. Just have to jog down to the end of the driveway. This was an ok storm but looked pretty cool coming in.
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Good storm here wind about 40 kts
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Last night was a pleasant surprise with direct hit of a slow backbuilding cluster right over southern Kent County. Lots of loud thunder for several hours. Best non-severe storm of the summer. I so much prefer this type of storm to a squall line that rushes through too fast to enjoy or provide good rain totals. Required a lot of luck.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ma blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
nino summers torch second half of september into october -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Almost like The Shining, only in snowmans version there is no snow because of a nuclear el nino. -
You are correct the processed data is listed as Berkeley station 35128, "WEST-CHESTER-1W" — monthly means, sole ID hadcru 720461, no COOP number - that is processed not raw data! This is a different animal entirely. The CSV matching the handwritten sheet says nothing about that file, because the CSV isn't its source this indeed looks to be West Chester 2NW old data! Below is the QC Check and of note only those 2 days in June 2 and 3 were flagged
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I think there was a low prob of storms here today? Didn't pay much attention. Look to get hit pretty good, although the line is moving quickly. Wind really gusting on the front end. Took a few pics before I hauled ass up the driveway and into the house with all the T&L.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Snowedin replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It’s always laughable when peeps are so quick to write just this season off early when we still have the months of Septorcher, Dewtober, Mowvember and of course Grinchtember to come! -
You're in a serious rain shadow there. I bet your annual rainfall is 30 or so inches while high elevations to your west are around 50 Nice-looking line moving into central Calvert. Seeing lightning now
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Happy birthday to your beautiful Mrs!
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I had 35 mph winds and .34" rain in Augusta. Rain at last!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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The hires Nam was bleh, but that hrr run was nice.
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Lost power for 30 seconds and came back on, hallelujah! Spared after being hit during the heat wave. Over an inch of rain so far today. Plentiful T/L. Noisy. This is like a "if you enjoy the sound of summer thunder" line. Sound machine-worthy, classic.
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Based on radar and other than @EastCoast NPZ, this is the first solid, region wide line of storms that I can recall in a long time.
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0.92” with driving rain and strong wind gusts. Probably around 50 mph
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The dew point is back up to 80º here this afternoon.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
IMO, today was not a bust. Solid slight risk day.- 1,843 replies
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