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That is definitely possible, especially when colder air arrives quickly behind the system. Temperature timing and precipitation overlap often determine whether winter impacts become more noticeable than severe weather. I once spoke with a driver from Luxury Rides LLC who said sudden overnight changes made road conditions more challenging than daytime storms.

Like a March 2001 but with less rugburn because the writing was already on the wall 24 hours ago

Yep, the Euro went the wrong way with this and heights don't respond at all

He was talking about euro AI to be fair which is much better than euro. But def not tucked lol .

You know, by the number of posts, the run wasn't great!

This is much less confusing once you all accept my conclusion that we are living in a simulation built by the jilted lover of a mid atlantic snow weenie.

EPS have flip flopped a ton as well. so hard to trust them.

100% agree. Not having the Euro on board is a problem

Well I am scheduled for surgery on Monday so why not lol .

AGAIN...the chart...

Too much so, imo

Well, considering the last few years I'm already above the new normal

Any maps for 12z Euro yet?

I was hoping for a more classic torch this week, but seems to be favoring cooler than expected so far.

Isn’t this an event where snow maps are going to be especially terrible? Meaning, counting a lot of mixed junk as snow

I'd roll with the Euro in this scenario, it's not perfect but it usually leads the others.

No matter how some on here want to talk themselves into it not being what it was, It's still is a factor to be considered, lol, My point proven above.

I said wait until 12z wed, and here we are. Looks like euro can kicked us to tomorrow or friday

EPS time. Toss the Euro when alone until it isn’t

6z EPS were significantly better. Curious if we lose ground with the 12z EPS. I'm not exactly a believer in the off runs being worse but they do "feel" jumpier.

Euro is dogshit, both the run and the model itself. It needs to prove it's good again before it can be trusted. Obviously you want it to show a hit rather than not, but almost unusable at this point. Just my recency bias

Completely predictable. We knew

We need an El Niño in the worst kinda way.

Remember, at this range for the January event, we were worried about that 12z GFS run that sent the whole storm to NC