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I agree, I think this hits hard from Wlksboro East, Western NC gets typical upslope and precip from the initial piece sliding down from Minnesota.

And now we wait for the king to do its thing. Most important 12z euro run many of us have seen in a long time.

Not necessarily. Canadian improved and GFS had that last minute tug NW.

I know it does not mean much, but it is nice seeing the broad Weather map from The weather prediction center showing at least parts of East TN in the heavy snow possibility/. Morristown must not be buying it, at least not yet..

.75 QPF across the Eastern 2/3 of North Carolina, for both the GEFS and EPS. Reduced by 25% to get an idea of the footprint of snowfall = 6-10" snowfall at 15:1 ratios. Banding within that broad footprint will allow for 12-18". Some dry slotting may occur West/East of that band where "only" 3-6" falls. The footprint and magnitude of this general consensus will continue to shifts as models try to resolve the Dance of the ULL and developing powerful storm

Alleviate Tip's 580 height rule over MIA and this thing heads for the oil platforms lol.

This is what happens when it snows in Raleigh. Famously taken on Glenwood Ave.

I think it will, hasn’t everything else for the most part?

And I would venture to say that it's because of the historic cold pressing that it is south. There are a few of our major snowstorms that were proceeded by historic cold, but 90%+ were not as overwhelming as this air mass.

Assault

00z canadian was about to do it then had just about the worst modeling I have ever seen of bombogenesis

It looks like everything keeps shifting S and E. Really wanted to see that L tuck into the coast and climb N some. Small changes can have big downstream effects so could easily shift back N. will see.

If euro takes a siggy step back and not something minor like noise, then I would be concerned.

Not quite

Woof.

Seems pretty boring overall though...woild love to get another shot at something substantial. Thankful for what we got last week...but it was SO close to being a lot more that I want another swing at something, lol

Alot of folks thought that...will never forget riding in National Guard tracked APC's to the state line the next day to rescue hikers. Was no road, driver had to be guided by spotter looking out the roof hatch.

at 500, 12z UK is a lot better than 0z, ICON is worse than 0z. Neither really translate.

This is a list of all the biggest snows in ENC history lol

The 12z GEFS mean total snow 10:1 regressed slightly from 06z to its 0z look. Still looks good.

i’m pretty sure the day before it started it was showing actually 12 to 18 inches before the trends NW

Probably wrong but think this is the 2nd run in a row the GFS has a clipper trying to spring a miller B around 260hrs. Pretty boring until then

Hate to say this, But the Nam may end up handling this better seeing were dealing with all this convection and spurious lows all over the surface.

It’s interesting seeing some of seasoned mets on here calling no snow . Not saying this will be the next 1978.. but as big as it will be it will throw good snows way west in a worse case

I knew I should have gone to Wake