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I meant tomorrow but we are likely going over 100 today. 98.2 at my house right now
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://phys.org/news/2026-06-global-137c-earth-accumulating.html -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Okay, I guess this means it will correct itself in the other direction next year, and 2027 will have a cooling that rival years like 1998 and 2010. -
91/72/100 nasty out there
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still seem to have a bit of a lee trough if I'm not mistaken as well. I guess we're just missing shear and a forcing mechanism. Storms seem to be popping out near Pittsburgh as well. Quick question, and I know its not fully understood, but what conditions should we look for to get prolific lightning producers? Since the storms are coming in during the night I might try to get to do some lightning photography if I can assuming they hold together as the latest NAM suggests.- 488 replies
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Weather like this makes me so happy to be retired. 97 on my PWS HI 108
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I think there will be some storms overnight, perhaps some sort of cluster moving through. Not really liking how unenthused CAMs really are with today or even tomorrow. Lack of forcing is a big killer but I would not be shocked if we can get at least widely isolated stuff later this afternoon and if lucky, a small cluster moving through overnight.
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Semi-fake news RDU sensor was 97 at 1PM and was by 2F the hottest in the entire SE among official reporting stations with Rocky Mount, NC, and Brunswick, GA, next at 95!
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Great news!
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https://x.com/RyanWeather/status/2064837035706163334
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MRV trying to play catch up this afternoon as clouds move out.
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What a messy setup. Funny how the setup yesterday was quietly a lot cleaner, despite shear/dynamics being not as impressive...
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Connecticut River valley for the win. Glad I don't live there.
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First round quickly converted over to anvil rain on approach. Let's see what round 2 does.
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The Triangle, Triad, and neighboring S VA was the only area in the entire SE to notably worsen as the rest of the SE either was unchanged or improved vs last week’s map.
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Looks like the rain yesterday has boosted surface dews a bit. Helps to offset the fact that air temperatures aren't climbing really into the 90s.
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Channeling my inner Wiz right now...All this heat and dews and/or summer cancel talk is boring, are we getting t-storms tonight or not?
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So we really still going to see storms fire off today?
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Looking to be more of a flash flood event for Chicago versus severe at this point. Not feeling confident for severe later.
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dewing the dew with a 77 dew!
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Yup.. sucks lol. Working outside now sucks. Oh well. Better then being stuck in an office building.
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Concord River in Billerica is very, very low. Signs of the drought
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Chicago NWS Izzi CAM guidance remains very aggressive with a strongly unstable and rather large warm/unstable sector ahead of the cold front, though most CAMs do not seem to be handling the current size/magnitude of the MCS and associated cold pool well. Recent observational trends raise significant questions about how realistic the CAM depictions are. Certainly, given the magnitude of the forcing, we feel that at least some moderate destabilization will occur and likely support a strongly forced QLCS developing along the cold front this afternoon and spreading into northern IL this evening. Magnitude of the recovery and subsequent destabilization across northern IL is somewhat unclear ahead of this QLCS, but given the strong forcing and unseasonably strong deep and low level shear, there could a damaging wind and QLCS tornado threat even with somewhat modest instability. Should recovery and instability be more significant, like many CAMS show, then potential would increase for a derecho/QLCS tornado threat this evening. We will be closely monitoring observational trends this afternoon.
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Great to hear the news, @Ian!! Will be supporting anyway I can and would love to chat in person sometime. Feel free to stop by more!
