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Storm potential January 18th-19th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Oh yeah. I’m not saying we’re not due for some biggies. I’m just saying I still can’t believe we lived through that. I used to dream about what it would’ve been like to be alive during the 1955-1972 period. I never thought we could match or beat it in our lifetimes. -
Having that north helps Sunday. Pumping the heights.
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Thanks. But it wasn’t all her fault. Don’t want to give that impression. I didn’t appreciate what we had enough. I let things that didn’t matter take up too much of my time and energy. I put things on auto pilot and lost her. I don’t know why. Why I had to lose it to see what was really important. But when I get another chance at something special I won’t make that mistake again.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Ah, no....he has severe intellectually disabilities, dude. I'm not talking about bipolar or something... -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
WintryMixmaster replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The NAM 3k sure is persistent showing that 1-2" for I-40 north in the valley Friday night. Reminds me of that scene with Fry and the fortune teller from Futurama: "look do you want false hope or not?" "only if you don't have any real hope!" -
Oh yeah, Willy is my #1
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Storm potential January 18th-19th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
everytime GFS showed a big hit for Sunday, it missed Saturdays wave to our northwest. Hopefully that's what happens. maybe we miss saturday and we get a bigger event sunday -
That’s actually a pretty weak correlation with the relationship potentially caused by outliers. Not sure where you got the 62.5% from unless you were looking at a sample of data? I only say that because R^2 in that case is 6.25%. I think when looking at these indices, it’s easy to get caught in a chicken/egg loop unless there’s clearly pressure-level signals for snowier winters like with nao/ao, etc.
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Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
WxWatcher007 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
First call. Could see moving that C-2 line further inland and a 2-4 stripe in interior CT by the final tomorrow. -
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ineedsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
no doubt this comes west -
Detroit special
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My wife would only approve if I married Willy.
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It completely misses us on Saturday, so hopefully it has something on Sunday.
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Storm potential January 18th-19th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Nam 0z run Saturday first wave way north, in my opinion this will make the frontal boundary way more west for Sundays developing storm! Let's see the run isn't even near done!✅ -
It's a QPF issue. It goes from dumping over northern Middle to dying imby, but it bumps back up a little bit east of 75 and down towards Knoxville.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
25 to 45. -
Nam night be more west
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Nam I think will be ticking west -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Absolutely. I know how fortunate I was. But I think we can get a bone thrown at us now. We’ve paid our dues. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WeatherGeek2025 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Nam 0z run Saturday first wave way north, in my opinion this will make the frontal boundary way more west for Sundays developing storm! Let's see the run isn't even near done!✅ -
Yeah, noticed that. It just scattered the Shield out after getting past I-75. Could be suggesting a mild tounge of sorts with maybe a mix or some rain . I didn't look at QPF . It would answer to whether that's the Case. A couple other Models are showing the quick drop off as well.
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Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
CoastalWx replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
nam is way NW with the moisture. Maybe that helps Sunday night -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
weathafella replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Kickers, shitstreaks, one destructive battle after another
