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Ladies and gentleman… the gfs

Yup, they clearly were the best team this year and deserved to win it all.

One day you'll learn about jinxes. People on these boards have dropped a grand on fancy snowblowers just to see them collect dust for nearly a decade.

1" QPF line right along I-95 south on the CMC 0.8-0.9" throughout SE PA. 9° in ABE at the peak of the storm, 13° verbatim in Philly.

Hours 144 - 168 are probably undermodeled there in terms of QPF on the CMC. But it doesn't really matter since it's so far out.

Ugh...kiss of death bro!

Same, snow all the way, and 30+ inches. A redo I'd take.

I was in Herndon VA and it did sleet for a few hours but it was during the lull so it didn’t really cost us much accumulation.

the moderator hates me here, for a good reason i'm too good a predictor!

It’s going to be a long week.

I'd think with as cold as it's gonna get that the ratios would be higher. But with 4-5 days to go . The more accurate snow ratios I'm sure will come later

MA enjoying the CMC, which sucks for NC and South.

That's a horrible run for us in the east

So we know who to blame if this all goes south (pun intended) from here

I remember single digits in a storm a while ago.

Yeah, 00Z GEM looks more like those AI solutions up to this point. Where you go from "damn, are we gonna get fringed with cold smoke" to "uh oh, how close is that mix zone?" I would be more worried if I were in central-southern VA if wanting an all snow event. I do think the northerly trends will continue. ...but hopefully end at some point. Anxious to see the 00Z op ECMWF (aren't we all), but also the GFS/EC AI runs.

CMC and GFS both moved towards a more efficient phase, great to see

That's a sweet CMC run. And at 150hr when most of the precipitation appears done, there's more energy back in the midwest suggestion this could be more extended than shown. It looks like the 18z ECM at the end of its run except with the southern stream ULL escaping east first to deliver a major snowstorm.

I literally just DoorDashed a yardstick to my house. LFG!

Canadian is just goofy... let's just plow thru the wedge.

lets not run that back for my patriots fandom sake

too far out for a perfect run lol.

With that much qpf, who cares? Anyway, the weight of that much snow always compacts.

No, way higher. It's 1.3" of QPF