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12Z GEFS has the signal as well. Nice to see heights building out west which is why we are seeing this storminess popping up around that timeframe 12th/13th.

Wednesday's 3 inches makes 10 times in the last 45 years that Augusta County has received winter events on December 5!!!!!! The others: 2018 - 1.5" snow, 2009 - 6" snow, 2007 - .8" snow, 2005 3.0", 2003 - 6.5", 2002- 5", 1996 3.0", 1985 .50", 1984 - 1 " sleet

Agreed.. I’m used to seeing those mainly in the northeast when I still lived in CT. This one could surprise a few folks around mine and Chills area.

Yup, but pretty uncommon to see it actually verify at our latitude.

Lt sn. 18F. Looks and feels like January Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Got another 0.3” from last nights activities to bring final to 2.1”

Nice burst now...festive flakes. Set up my WS4000 simulator with Christmas music to enhance the mood.

It has some inverted trough characteristics. It looks "weird" because of blocking mostly. The shortwave is decent but the sledgehammer above it is pounding on top so it can't really get organized with a broader precip shield. Hammer and nail effect. Backside of the shortwave is pretty sharp but the front is hammered flat

Stunning

More cold about to dump into CONUS for christmas? Helping that EPO/WPO domain.

That bridge shot is fantastic

That was a fun little event, and my yard jacked with 3".

Show us the guidance that shows that on the 12th

I’m not really paying attention to it at this point but a similar setup to last week would mean more rain coast/snow inland. If we’re blasted with southerly winds ahead of any storm it will rain in the city. Waters are still way too warm to allow snow with onshore flow in mid December-still around 50 at Jones Beach. We can maybe get away with it in Feb when waters are coldest for the year.

Definitely looks like a nice refresher storm for the slopes.

I guess the Canadian joined the island…I know CMC lol…but at least it’s another piece of guidance joining in.

Never underestimate americans…

Congratulations !

Would that be considered a Norlun for Monday? Or completely different setup..

Quick coating from the snow showers coming through. Very pretty.

Plenty of cold air

Congrats bro !!

That doesn't mean there's no drought or low reservoirs

Canadian and UKMET both join the GFS with a more robust system. Both are a little further north though with more temp/mixing issues

Upper air pattern is pretty potent with the neg nao breaking down but no sign of a big storm trigger yet. Just looking at the indices makes you think an Archambault type event is I the cards but the northern stream is so busy that it's running interference on itself lol. Something compact but potent n the NS could pop imho. Blocking is quite strong over the next 5 days then things unwind for a bit. Interesting and complex period on tap. Not really a setup that "locks into" anything so it would be a mistake to marry anything in the mid/long ranges