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Started to rain around 12:30 last night so I checked the radar. Huge red blob in southern Fairfax/PW counties. Northwestern tip of it touching I66 in western Fairfax. I only got light rain and one distant rumble of thunder. It looked like the blob might hit DCA but checking this morning, they just got a few hundredths too.

It was the 15th warmest April at MSN and we were able to snag the wettest April on record with 7.26” of precip. Only a T of snow

Beautiful Mothership man!! I'd run a Waffle House out of coffee picking Trey's brain lol. Happy you didn't get totally burned. Great pics!

The following is very interesting as regards the controversial topic of potential significant deep ocean heating from sources independent of AGW such as deep ocean seismic activity: Apr 28, 2026 An anomaly in global sea level rise is explained by deep ocean heating by David Appell, Phys.org Scientists found that up until 2016 that the global mean sea level (GMSL) "budget," accounting for all the energy flows that create sea level rise, was "closed," but since then it has developed a hole in it. The budget is no longer closed, at least according to ocean heat data, down to 2,000 meters. Where was the missing cause for the latest sea level rise? Now a new examination of sea level in the global ocean since 2016 has closed the GMSL budget and brought the sea level books back into order. The new researchappears in the journal Earth's Future. The paper is important for showing that deep ocean heating can no longer be ignored when considering sea level rise and its acceleration. Deep ocean heat's growing role In particular, the researchers, with lead author Anny Cazenave, an emeritus scientist at the Laboratory of Space Geophysical and Oceanographic Studies (LEGOS) at Toulouse, France, found that accounting for sea level rise from expansion due to added heat in the deep ocean, below 2,000 meters, allowed the GMSL budget to be "almost closed" since 2016. "The next step," they write, "will be to determine whether the recent deep ocean change is due to internal climate variability, forced anthropogenic response or a combination of both." https://phys.org/news/2026-04-anomaly-global-sea-deep-ocean.html @donsutherland1, @chubbsand others, your thoughts? Keep in mind that David Appell is not at all an AGW skeptic.

33 at MSP. Widespread frost

Caught a glimpse of some kelvin-helmholtz clouds this morning. Always neat to see, since they seem to dissappear so quickly.

I've got over an inch in the rain gauge and still coming down lightly.

Quarter inch overnight, now at 4 inches. Picked up 3.5 inches the last 75 mins. Still coming down hard

Well. In the CAMs I trust I guess.

Around 500 homes reportedly damaged or destroyed as of this morning including a trailer park wiped out. No reports of deaths but upper teens in injuries so far, most from the trailer park. Night time tornadoes have always been my greatest fear, even with the tools we have today. Going through Hugo for 18 hours, mostly at night kinda gave me PTSD about it. Saw some NWS warnings for 150-185 radar estimated winds and 1 warning that said radar estimated 200mph with that thing. From a weather nerd standpoint, those were 2 beautiful classic Dixie Ally long track sups. As always it just sux afterwards. And a note... These things were very well forecasted and very well warned with NWS giving up to 25 min lead times. Probably saved a lot of lives. The only good thing about big sups all by themselves. They're usually pretty predictable where they are going.

Good rainfall rates appear to be filling in west of here

Did you go 55?I was watching my radar last night of the PDS,that had to be at least a EF3,i was kinda busy and couldnt watch the whole show but that was a nice couplet as it was headed towards Bube in that vicinity

.45" here

I will say, if there’s a bright side, it was a slow soaking rain at my house. The ground should’ve absorbed every bit.

Big bust of an event imo and looking drier and drier by the day going forward. This event just kept trending south until go time. Next event needs to jackpot Pennsylvania 2 days out to be in good shape locally. I don’t see this pattern breaking down any time soon and we’re about to be in extremely rough shape around WNC by summer.

Drought canceled

Alpha gal won’t do his laundry or clean his room

.61

Both days but my oldest daughters is on Sunday . It’s inside at Gampel but you still want it nice . She’s off the books. My other one had two years left there . Moving her home Saturday for summer . Next year she’s in the new apartments where all the shops and restaurants are.

Make that EXTREME DROUGHT

Looks like a gradual warming later in May following this coming cooler period. One thing to watch will be that we have a record +PMM now which is closer to the summer of 2015 El Niño than 2023 which didn’t have the strong +PMM. So it’s possible we get a warmer summer than 2023. But we would want to see how the transition from late May into early June verifies in order to know for sure. Stronger +PMM in summer of 2015 Weaker PMM in 2023 EPS forecast next 15 days

Just picked up 3 inches the last hour. So yup, we are flooded. Still raining at 3 inches per hour.

As expected temps overachieved. Hit 31.

0.05 total and less than a tenth combined with last weeks "rain event." I'm about ready to just give up on trying to get a new yard going. I don't expect any real rain until probably the fall.

Beta gal?