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You know the way that ridge bulges in the midwest like that and this thing comes down out of the northwest along the 540… starting as a zygote plume in N IL then strengthening E before diving southeast … it looks like an MCS in the summertime riding the thermodynamic gradient

Surprisingly we didn't get the wind that was forecasted for our are.

My PWM plot is night and day from Mansfield in most regards, but I totally get the OCD part. I will go back and forth in my head about the depth during every wind-driven event. Hell, I'll even do it when measuring new snow. Talking myself in and out of literally tenths of an inch. At least you have other people to converse with. I come back in the house talking to myself and my family just looks at me funny.

Light precip

Yes

Christmas party?

I would assume it would have to be moving pretty quickly in order for accumulations to be that low ?

All models have shifted north. I like a dusting to an inch for NYC

Block this guy. I did last year, the only time I see his post is when someone quotes it. .

RRFS

What was the issue?

Pretty Standard La Nina looks like.

This look could be a lot worse.

I just love the sunset color at this time of year!!

18z Euro also looked colder for Boxing Day. That might be one to watch. Rain to ice to snow? The low level cold is there verbatim.

@John1122atmospheric river alerts are posted for Mammoth later in the week. The webcams should be hopping.

Broken record

Yep, most would take that. Would like to see more with the varsity 00z models.

Well I think we’re in a very sensitive spot. If it shifts too far north then it’s just rain showers. If it shifts too far south then it’ll probably get shredded even more. Not sure the cards are there for us for this one

It’s the NAM, tossed.

You are right

It’s way south and juicier.

Def healthier than the previous couple runs.

0z fv3