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That is pretty accurate here, measured between 3 and 4 in the yard today...still sleddable too, not a solid glacier

Hopefully it stays together. Would love to end the New Year with some Thundersnow

But like I said… Supply a radical enough reconstruction of those flow components and then it’ll happen maybe Nothing is impossible

Thundersnow in northwest Pennsylvania and southwest New York.

First flakes, let’s see what this initial band does.

Honestly it’s the strangest pack I’ve had or seen around these parts. Most yards are between 70-100% . It’s literally different coverage in every yard .. and a lot is dependent on if the slope faces south or north . I’d be lying if I said 100 because it’s not . Grass under some trees . Other parts of my lawn have 2”. But if you look up and down any street it looks like deep winter

apparently...lots of boats, bikinis and umbrellas in drinks

S Weymouth is beautiful this time of year.

Didn't measure, but eyeballing looks like at least 2, maybe 3 inches here. Squall line showing up on radar south of Cleveland.

Let’s get tonight and then a refresher Sunday.

0Z NAM ticked south...no dice. Wishing all of you a Healthy and Happy 2026!!!! And a Blizzard or Two!!!

Adding a quick video from a few minutes ago. Now about 75/25 dendrites

do you have a full pack there? Surprised we still have a full solid pack here probably 3-4" of crusty meat pretty shocked the rain and fog didnt eat it all away. Makes this event better than just bare ground.

North of city def winners of this storm. Should get around 5. I am only at 1.75 here.

Happy New Year @Scraff and my other beer connoisseurs to my South!

the initial line, looks like a squall flying into Southbury, will see how much virga it has with it really soon...currently 18.9/14

Cracked this bad boy to celebrate the Stranger Things finale and the New Year:

Before 11 here

Is that a circulation mode analog? The problem isn’t the chunk move. It’s how can that happen with a Northwest of Southeast moving rampaging jet, and the progressive ridge, which is bulging east across the country at the same time It’s not a matter of whether it’s happening in history it’s a matter whether it can now

Still … one would have to be a nimrod not to be impressed with that anomaly

good

Should be here before 10

Hey Larry, I agree it's probably not factored in. I was looking at the 18z GFS ensemble and that is really not much big below average temps in the first 5 days of the month. Then we really amp the SE ridge, so some places around DC could be +3 to +5 by mid month. By the 15th, the pattern is changing but it's still above average in the northeast. That means we need a really cold 2nd half of the month for the CPC's forecast to verify. I'm tempted to pull the trigger on a long NG contract Future. The reason why it would be March and not Feb is volume starts dwindling on the Feb contract around Jan 24th, and the run may go through the end of the month. I've seen enough CPC monthly stuff to know that they do have pretty high accuracy.