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Seeing some AQIs over 200 in NYC now.
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The timing of the smoke came in the evening . Had this came in around 1-2pm like 2023 it wouldve been the same
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I generally think he tends to be a jaded weenie where he predicts warmth but gets sucked into a snow threat when it appears. That said, he’s better than most online forecasters and does know his technical stuff. He’s a guy who I’d rather have on our side when forecasting a storm but he’s been wrong before too.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Last year was okay up top. My thought was because the sun was so active it acted more like a peaking solar cycle even being technically past the peak as on the way up is generallybetter than down. Maybe it's already been mentioned by another(s) on or off this Board idk. Just a hunch. If correct, an active sun might give a better result....just a weenie WAG! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Severe Weather Weenie Europe really beating the disturbed PV drum for next winter. -
The smell is getting stronger here in Brooklyn.
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It’s not as bad as 2023 but definitely to the point where it’s not healthy to be outside for long periods of time. And we’ll see how bad tomorrow gets-this stuff is being funneled right at us behind this front.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
raindancewx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
July now looks a bit like July 2012 nationally, near average/cool West/South undercutting a very warm East/north. Sort of the summer version of how a +WPO often looks in early winter. The look is forecast to flip in the 6-10 and 8-14 day periods almost to the exact opposite. I don't expect any of the big indices to remain locked in for the winter. For June, all the big Pacific drivers were of similar sign and magnitude to June 2012 - PNA, WPO, EPO. The Atlantic stuff (AO/NAO) opposite. Wetter, warmer 2012-13, with blocking is my ceiling for the winter nationally. It's pretty cold for most of the US for brief periods, just not consistently. You can see for right now when 2012 looked like a weak, east centered El Nino, the Pacific is similar. Atlantic is opposite. -
We got hit with storms here in Union county and the wind make the smoke even worse. It’s getting bad.
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hit 100 F followed by thick wildfire smoke i think it’s time to reduce my 401k contributions
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Tomorrow will be worse
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It's as bad as it was in the leading days to the marspocalypse... Honestly if this smoke came in earlier around the same time as 2023 did , it would be that bad It's extremely smokey
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It was the edge of the cold front which is driving the smoke in from the north. Sinking air too behind the front which brings the smoke to the ground.
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It’s disgusting. I was just outside for 30 mins and my eyes are stinging and throat is itching.
