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Congrats to those localized areas that home grew convection today. Otherwise HRRR was right about everything died on approach. Now let’s see if it can right about that Canada complex surviving till morning.

Only hit 89 today at DCA and IAD.

And that was the only nina on record where it happened like that...that was like a once in a century kind of result for a nina! Folks are quick to point out "Well it almost happened in this year or that year" but that's the point: Why didn't it happen? NS too busy. Makes the odds that much lower, imo

June Dep JFK: +2.8 EWR: + 2.4 LGA: + 1.9 NYC: +1.3

Today's HighsBLM: 92EWR: 92New Brnswck: 91ACY: 91LGA: 91TEB: 91PHL: 91TTN: 88NYC: 87JFK: 85ISP: 85

Looks like we got a little too wild with .06

It’s only temporary. I’m like the emergency back-up goalie this week.

Today's Highs BLM: 92 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 ACY: 91 LGA: 91 TEB: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 88 NYC: 87 JFK: 85 ISP: 85

.06. Shaded areas stayed dry.

People laugh but man I swear by this rule. Summer storm patterns reveal themselves early and overall hit the same area repeatedly all summer while Stein areas Stein repeatedly. I don’t know that there’s any real scientific reason to it, but as a general rule .. it’s just how it works

It's rare in niñas, though it's been 30 years since the last time it happened in a niña.

Yeah well where people actually live (the corridor) they do not and have not! All those 6-10" events (except for last year) have been by the water or something, lol This is why I'm already grumpy abkut next winter...because it's gonna make the two winters after it suck too. Super niños spawn la ninas, and we know they double dip. So potential torch and no snow, followed by two more winters of NS dominance and barely median snowfalls. So you're looking at 3 more years of suckage before we can try something else. Hey at least it'll be solar minimum for 29-30 (though that was no good last time but I'd like to try again).

As far as I'm concerned, that storm didn't produce simply BECAUSE it was a nina. While there is statistically potential for 20"...the probability was not good. Why? Because NS...that's why. There will ALWAYS be something in the way, or developing too late. Happens way more in ninas than niños.

Let's see how long we're in the furnace.

I think that’s Earthlight?

After getting hit earlier today and over the weekend . At least there’ll be green grass at Treehouse for the holiday weekend.

If I counted correctly, that was the 10th driest first half of the year in the DCA record, but you only have to go back to 2023 to beat it.

Wind switched, and temps have risen into the 80's here in town in the last couple hrs.

Fill us in on who this is for those that are not on social media.

It may curve right like a dong . They typically do .

Steiner here for the last 2mo.

snowman made the stronger claim that +qbo, +enso decembers are a slam dunk always warmer than normal REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH (his exact words go read it). 1997/2004 are weakly +qbo. He's wrong.

A friend of mine who works for PJM said Thursday is definitely going to break a record and that the western part of our region (Ohio, Michigan, metro-Chicago) are likely to place constraints on the rest of our region; but they are working to hopefully minimize whatever those constraints are.

I understood the rules -- I just went too low.