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Not last night

Excellent point. We all know the west is having a record warm winter. In fact, I have never, EVER seen the west get as much attention on this forum as it has during this very cold Great Lakes/northeast winter. But lets not forget the basics - outside of some extreme years, the common rule of thumb is west warm/east cool and vice versa. Its the very common result of ridging and troughing. Personally, I am not looking forward to the false spring but I have a hope. Since Thanksgiving, except for 2 brief thaws, we have been treated to a continuous fresh, clean and glistening snow blanket (none of that hoping the torch passes to preseve a crusty pack) with nonstop cold. Feels like a Winnipeg winter. But whats been lacking locally is a real big storm (biggest was 6.2"). With the eroding of the deep cold and the getting to that time of year when real dynamic late winter/early spring storms can develop, its the transition from deep winter to gambling time. More risk, more reward type. Might as well buckle up, what have we got to lose?

18z ICON and Reggie both looked better and more organized....Reggie did lower that ridiculous WAA stripe across S CT which seemed a little spurious, but the rest of the region juiced up.

2/16 is kind of a mess on guidance....I'm hedging that something will go wrong on that one, but I do think if it gets near the BM, it will be a good event for most. Cold has been undermodeled and even a degree or 2 will make a good difference for the CP.

You're the best, never change.

any evidence ?

I more a fan of Tex MECS. Just sayin…cause I have literally nothing to add. Never really have. Never really will.

Not on the short term, but definitely on the long term. February is still going to end up below average, but I expect things to be closer to average (and probably on the warm side) in March, and well above average in April.

1-3 spot 4” amounts seems likely anywhere north of I-95

Weathergami for NYC on Saturday. First 27/6 combo on record.

Also https://www.wcax.com/2026/01/06/lake-morey-skate-trail-opens-season/

See my post above.

New Euro weeklies don’t look great

HECS, MECS, whatever. 13" on my dome is high impact to me

Probably not fair to compare the CMC Ens to the Para CMC since they are running different systems - but not really, lol. Para CMC and the current CMC are close-ish to each other, though. Reform the low off the Carolina coast vs. over our heads/NJ

NAM gone wild. Not biting on solid advisory yet for here, but 1-3 seems more likely today. Euro still paltry but it's kind of an outlier. It hasn't been great this winter....especially with smaller events.

Yeah, that’s not a HECS. Maybe if it was March, it would be a HECS for that month.

Snowfall totals for Feb 6-7th

Not last night.

What do you mean?

It's definitely amazing, an HECS is quite the stretch though.

Snowfall totals for this storm. Reports are from here, cocorahs, COOP and official climo sites. CT/Tri-State maps are up as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/winter-25-26

The pond near us has the texture of corrugated roofing. Given I like cross country skiing just as much, and can do it in the uncleared parts, it's a tough ask. Pond hockey enthusiasts are making do. As cold as it has been, nobody has sprung for a Zamboni.