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Constant comping. This is what happens when you have low dews. I’ve noticed a lot of aggression…lots of anger, both here and in the world. Parents aggressively pushing strollers, kids screaming and yelling, dogs barking, birds violently poooping on cars. Low dews just makes everyone in a terrible mood.

We lied to the kids and told them we were out of marshmallows bc it was late and they were breaking down and we didn’t want to deal with the mess, yada yada. Anyway, it reminded me of this tweet I saw one time that cracked me up, went something to the effect of: ”Me before having kids: I will never lie to my children. Me today: They don’t sell hotdogs in Colorado.”

I know you probably know this but they aren't native to New England or even the US and I have zero issues nuking their nests. I do home improvement work and they are our worst nightmare when you disturb a nest. I'm going to try and find the picture where I got stung in the face after ripping out a window sill they nested in. Took like a dozen plus stings to my face. Couldn't see out of my eyes or even eat for like 3 days.

Didn’t someone from CT say Arctic blue skies like an hour ago?

Easily the best weather weekend of the summer!

Where's there's smoke, There's more smoke.

No joke , just entered Connecticut. Awful smoke. Why do people live in that hell-hole?

Yep, I don't think they even stopped during the winter. Is there a multiyear drought going on in Canada?

a lovely vision Don, do you have your own boat?

None in August, Tony?

The earliest one on record until 2025.....

Smoke’em if you got’em

I’m breeding more here and advecting them south.

JFK 1963 heat late June / July June 23 89 60 0.00 0.0 June 24 89 63 0.00 0.0 June 25 94 68 0.00 0.0 June 26 96 70 0.00 0.0 June 27 98 70 0.00 0.0 June 28 95 73 0.00 0.0 June 29 82 70 0.01 0.0 June 30 86 70 0.00 0.0 July 1963 JFK Airport Weather Day High (°F) Low (°F) Precip. (inches) Snow (inches) July 1 102 71 0.00 0.0 July 2 93 72 0.00 0.0 July 3 89 63 0.00 0.0 July 4 83 62 0.00 0.0 July 5 89 63 0.00 0.0 July 6 83 62 0.00 0.0 July 7 79 62 0.04 0.0 July 8 75 62 0.26 0.0 July 9 79 55 0.00 0.0 July 10 79 58 0.00 0.0 July 11 83 63 0.00 0.0 July 12 84 62 0.00 0.0 July 13 78 59 0.02 0.0 July 14 73 63 0.26 0.0 July 15 86 67 0.00 0.0 July 16 86 67 0.00 0.0 July 17 92 70 0.00 0.0 July 18 89 72 0.00 0.0 July 19 97 70 0.13 0.0 July 20 81 65 1.07 0.0 July 21 82 66 0.08 0.0 July 22 75 66 0.00 0.0 July 23 77 65 0.00 0.0 July 24 85 66 0.00 0.0 July 25 85 68 0.00 0.0 July 26 90 70 0.00 0.0 July 27 97 71 0.00 0.0 July 28 95 73 0.07 0.0 July 29 95 73 0.02 0.0 July 30 89 71 0.86 0.0 July 31 81 62 0.00 0.0

Still deep blue skies in southern Westchester County. That will likely change this afternoon.

Haze / smoke cleared from here, but more wrapping around the NNE transport

Same here! Perfect night for a Summer fire pit. We enjoyed s’mores and the crisp evening air.

I just posted this elsewhere at this BB: The jury is obviously far from a decision for 2025. Yes, YTD NATL ACE has been very low (1.5 vs 1951-2024 avg of ~9 through this morning with it at 64th highest out of the last 75 seasons. And being that low this far into the season does increase the chance for a quiet rest of season somewhat, which I’d love to see for a change. And yes, there are two new areas in the EPAC that may develop this week. However: 1. The EPAC is currently still at only 28 ACE vs a normal of 47 meaning it’s now ranked at only 39 of the last 55 seasons. 2. We have weak La Ninalike conditions, which are typically conducive for an active rest of season. 3. The following other relatively quiet through now NATL seasons (under 5 ACE vs normal of 9) were active the rest of the season: Season: Total season’s NATL ACE 1969: 148 and that was El Niño (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 1 storm as of now (not an H) with 17 others still to come and not til Aug 10th+ 2017: 225 and EPAC was then way up at 74 (12/54); no H yet with 10 H/6 MH still to come Aug 7th+ 2019: 132 and EPAC ACE was then up at 45; only 2 storms as of now with 16 more to come and not til Aug 20th+ 1980: 148 1999: 176; only 1 storm through now (not an H) with 11 others to come and not til Aug 18th+ including 5 MH 2004: 227 and that was El Niño; only 2 storms through now with 13 more to come Aug 9th+ including 9H/6 MH 1998: 181 and EPAC was then up at 55 (14/54); only one storm as of now (not an H) with 13 more to come, including 10 H and not til Aug 19+ 1955: 158 (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 2 storms through now (no H yet) with 9H/4 MH still to come 1967: 125 (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 1 storm as of now with 12 more to come and not til Aug 28+ From this list: 1969, 2017, 2019, 2004, and 1998 should especially get one’s attention. 4. The Euro Weeklies, which overall did well last year with its several week out predictions, have been forecasting an active August for the last 5 days. 5. The various ensemble runs have been active both in the MDR as well as off of NC. The current TWO is already highlighting two areas. 6. The MJO is headed for phases 1 and 2, two often active phases during August.

Yes 102 Jul 1, 1963 in JFK

Plenty of smoke here Some of these fires have been burning for a few years now.

81 / 51 a true gem today

The jury is obviously far from a decision for 2025. Yes, YTD NATL ACE has been very low (1.5 vs 1951-2024 avg of ~9) through this morning with it at 64th highest out of the last 75 seasons. And being that low this far into the season does increase the chance for a quiet rest of season somewhat, which I’d love to see for a change. And yes, there are two new areas in the EPAC that may develop this week. However: 1. The EPAC is currently still at only 28 ACE vs a normal of 47 meaning it’s now ranked at only 39 of the last 55 seasons. 2. We have weak La Ninalike conditions, which are typically conducive for an active rest of season. 3. The following other relatively quiet through now NATL seasons (under 5 ACE vs normal of 9) were active the rest of the season: Season: Total season’s NATL ACE 1969: 148 and that was El Niño (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 1 storm as of now (not an H) with 17 others still to come and not til Aug 10th+ 2017: 225 and EPAC was then way up at 74 (12/54); no H yet with 10 H/6 MH still to come Aug 7th+ 2019: 132 and EPAC ACE was then up at 45; only 2 storms as of now with 16 more to come and not til Aug 20th+ 1980: 148 1999: 176; only 1 storm through now (not an H) with 11 others to come and not til Aug 18th+ including 5 MH 2004: 227 and that was El Niño; only 2 storms through now with 13 more to come Aug 9th+ including 9H/6 MH 1998: 181 and EPAC was then up at 55 (14/54); only one storm as of now (not an H) with 13 more to come, including 10 H and not til Aug 19+ 1955: 158 (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 2 storms through now (no H yet) with 9H/4 MH still to come 1967: 125 (don’t have EPAC pre-1971); only 1 storm as of now with 12 more to come and not til Aug 28+ From this list: 1969, 2017, 2019, 2004, and 1998 should especially get one’s attention. 4. The Euro Weeklies, which overall did well last year with its several week out predictions, have been forecasting an active August for the last 5 days. 5. The various ensemble runs have been active both in the MDR as well as off of NC. The current TWO is already highlighting two areas. 6. The MJO is headed for phases 1 and 2, two often active phases during August.

the 4 in 1993 I think all happened in a row (two in a row of 100+ too).

more smoke to ruin the elusive deep blue skies

Low 59...surprised to make the 50s at my site.