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925mb winds

New run coming out now. This was 12z.

New euro ai track is sandy-esque with that hard left turn...N part of NJ in a bad spot, S NJ would probably get the saving grace of an offshore wind component.

This is like a once-in-a-lifetime view of Pacific systems

I kinda hate the 10m wind products

Hopefully LBSW

starting to see a consensus over all of a loop south of LI

Can’t remember where I read it but the rrfs tends to over model the convective area by some crazy percentage like 50%. The rrfs-A is supposed to correct that excessive modeling. edit: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/39/1/WAF-D-23-0112.1.xml

That 62 storm obliterated the Delmarva beaches (Rehoboth, Bethany, etc.) The pictures of the Henlopen Hotel falling into the Atlantic with the rest of the Boardwalk were insane!

Can you do 10m winds?

Nov. 28th

Hopefully the Euros trend north a bit before heading west.. on a side note Hawaii is having a great year.. some models at 12z hit the southern end then northern end now..

Check out the 12Z UKMET: gets her all the way to 23.7N, 56.4W and still moving WSW not too far N of the MDR: TROPICAL STORM FAY ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N 41.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062026 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 24.09.2026 0 30.0N 41.2W 1014 28 0000UTC 25.09.2026 12 30.2N 42.1W 1015 25 1200UTC 25.09.2026 24 30.3N 43.1W 1015 27 0000UTC 26.09.2026 36 30.3N 43.7W 1015 25 1200UTC 26.09.2026 48 30.2N 44.4W 1014 26 0000UTC 27.09.2026 60 30.2N 44.8W 1016 21 1200UTC 27.09.2026 72 30.1N 44.8W 1015 22 0000UTC 28.09.2026 84 29.8N 44.6W 1016 20 1200UTC 28.09.2026 96 28.6N 44.9W 1016 22 0000UTC 29.09.2026 108 27.4N 46.0W 1014 23 1200UTC 29.09.2026 120 26.2N 47.6W 1013 24 0000UTC 30.09.2026 132 24.9N 49.6W 1012 26 1200UTC 30.09.2026 144 24.2N 52.0W 1011 29 0000UTC 01.10.2026 156 23.8N 54.3W 1011 27 1200UTC 01.10.2026 168 23.7N 56.4W 1012 27

Those will end up in the dining room ha ha.

12z First time the gefs ensembles are tightly clustered.

58mph I had to look up again

You know is simply the euro baiting everyone to rage after its been here all week saying hi hello, doesn't anyone believe me? Oh now you wanna believe me? Well screw you watch this!

I think 60?

Friend of mine has a place right on the water in Orleans. He got his boat out but his knucklehead kids left the kayaks on the shore.

Woodyard. 17 miles south west of boston. Always get smoked by coastals. Ugh

12Z Euro and our rapidly-aging uncle the NAM Nest definitely give credence to the idea that at least a chunk of our weekend will be messy.

I will say the euros was a long duration coastal battering. Tides get higher until Monday too.

Maybe the rrfs isn't on crack lol

just wear a goalie mask and wear a baseball glove just in case. Personally though I'd be playing dodge that apple and if I get hit...so be it