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Euro suite won't come around, if at all, until Monday.

Weenie talk about ai resolution issues is my guess

Just like the Panthers…. Tying it up in the 2nd half of model runs today. .

Good lord kid you're making me feel old Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Surface is warm on the parent EURO too. I wouldn’t count on a lot of that being snow

Storm 2 similar to 1 on AI. Vort doesn't dig far enough south.

I think the general consensus around here is that the AI model can't tell the difference between rain or snow I think

Well he’s not exactly wrong. That’s a very logical statement given recent climo. But you’re also correct, the mile high crowd can ignore this thread, you guys score on bird farts.

I remember the system last January that gave the midsouth a few inches and more sw of me. 18z back then lost it and then 0z brought it back and we were off to the races. Imo, if the 0z don't bring it back, then it's probably over for my area. Trough placement is important

after posting I looked out and my car has slush on it.. must of started as a brief period of snow?

So 18+ hours of snow including deform banding from a 993mb low and only .5"?

18z Euro vs 12z Euro down below. IMO the 18z Euro was better as the wave dug a little bit more, that's why it was a step towards the GFS.

What's up with this. I don't like how it's forcing the storm out

That map was 10:1, so...

Welcome...right now I wouldn't say there is a definitive system #2 (system #1 will play a role in the evolution first). The signs so to speak are pointing toward something in the distance, could go poof or could go all in....way too early to say either way.

Fwiw 18z ICON did that too and I wondered about that as a possible outcome. And we could say GFS kinda came north with the low passage too, right?

Something not adding up with those totals unless mixing is an issue.

.89" here. A nice soaker, which we needed. Only wish it was white... Just 10 degree cooler with some upper level cold... sigh.

Not a huge believer in even the ensembles at 5 days....I will be more interested in this thread the needle potential if they start to show something at 12z tomorrow.

if only this were snow

North

18z Euro another step towards the GFS.

Where is the rest of it?

18z euro slips the low east. Onto 0z H5 is very close though

That rained like 10-15 minutes lol