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WTF did you roll in a deer bed?

.45 raining still. May flowers.

I forget what it's like to have a rainy day where we get like 1.50". It's been since last fall if I remember correctly. All we get these days is a shower or sprinkles.

A while ago I linked a report that claimed that solar+batteries were becoming cost competitive in sunny locations for 24-hour a day firm power. Here's another report with the same findings. Solar/batteries are competitive now and will only become cheaper in the future. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2026/May/24-7-renewables-The-economics-of-firm-solar-and-wind

Was a very rainy and foggy morning up the mountain. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

A nice moderate to steady rainfall this morning. Lot's of water of the road this morning.

Last night’s storm took away some of the sting of another paltry event. Total of 0.32” yesterday.

Paul Kocin has said that he is working on a 3rd volume of Northeast Snowstorms. Does anyone have any updates on when the book will be released?

@Bluewave @donsutherland1 This is going to cause another massive WWB/DWKW and TC’s. It’s also going to enhance the already strong ocean-atmosphere coupling/Bjerknes feedback. IMO this El Niño surpasses 1972, 1982, 1997 and 2015 both in RONI and traditional ONI….

Wiz will like the NW flow potential at the end of the ensembles.

0.46” in Lanco. .

Just shy of quarter inch and still raining. Between this and Saturday should be in much better shape.

Ill have to check but im pretty sure im close to 2 inches of rain so far.

We have been blessed with 1.88” so far, with another 0.50” possible.

What a great system this has been. Still raining this morning.

Picked up a a quarter inch overnight. Nice line of storms moving in again. Coming down hard now. Hopefully can squeeze out an inch when it's all said and done.

Yay, we got some rain, maybe a half an inch.

Don't forget 2023, the last Strong El Nino, had 20 named storms, which is tied for 4th highest all time. PDO was negative in 2023. We haven't had a single +PDO month in the 2020s

+9F was kind of a weak scale anyway

hail

Yeah I had a very brief heavy downpour that dropped .05". Taking a look at radar now before I go to bed, I see a decent batch of rain is approaching. So maybe we can get a quarter to third of an inch out of this event afterall.

Well, well, well…if it isn’t the GFS up to its old tricks again. The 18Z GFS literally gives Tahiti on 5/13 a record low May SLP due to a nearby tiny surface low that gets as low as 1002 mb, highly unusual for May as it’s ~12 mb/0.36” BN. This results in ~1004.5 mb Tahiti pressure on 5/13. How low is this vs May history back to 1992? Well, the record low is 1004.7 (5/10/2002, during another incoming Nino). Second lowest? 1006.1 (5/31/1997, another incoming El Niño). Other very low SLPs there in May were also during incoming El Niño periods: 1007.5 on 5/9/2015 and 1007.8 on 5/19/2009. Will the record low May Tahiti SLP verify? Very highly doubtful considering that only the 18Z GFS had it that low with a tiny low almost right on top of Tahiti whereas other models had no low: 18Z GFS: 1002 low very near Tahiti But other recent GFS runs have also had a tiny low nearby though not as close. The brand new 0Z has the low but it’s not as close nor as strong (1005 instead of 1002). So, its lowest 24 hour averaged Tahiti pressure is only down to 1009 mb (on 5/12). I thought it was a good idea to post this because this could cause a couple of very strong -SOIs 5/12-13. Even just down to 1009 at Tahiti like the 0Z GFS has would mean a -35ish 5/12 SOI with near avg Darwin SLPs. This reminds me to mention that while Tahiti SLPs have been BN to MBN for most of the last 30 days (common with incoming Nino), there still have been no high pressures at Darwin, which have largely been NN. This is near the opposite of how April of 1997 went. It had 17 days of Darwin SLP of 1012+ vs only one day of that in April of 2026! There are few, if any, 1012+ in sight as of now other than possibly today, which may end up just above 1012 at Darwin.

Nice line with thunder and lightning just to my west. Fingers crossed that it holds together.

Flakes on some of the higher peaks? 1.08” today