Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. nj2va
    Oh so jumping ship over the HRRR isn’t just limited to winter storms?
  3. andyhb
    Man that would be a massive bust if it verified.
  4. McHenrySnow
    And hours before it started multiple models were showing 2 feet. smdh.
  5. OrdIowPitMsp
    8.8” storm total at MSP. one last burst of moderate snow rotating through now. We’ll see if it adds anything. 12-14” reports 10 miles south.
  6. IrishRob17
    Went over Greenville Mountain on 84 today and saw a few very small patches of snow in the woods.
  7. TSSN+
    I mean if this setup was in May-August I’d be little more concerned for sure but guess we will see what happens. Also it’s the hrrr so probably will change soon enough.
  8. wxmeddler
    The 0z HRRR is the exact failure mode that seems most likely, the crapvection from the west hangs on and is enhanced east of the mountains by the synoptic lift. By the time the low ejects, the moisture is wiped.
  9. kevlon62
    Dusted. Sleet/snow mix. .
  10. Sciascia
    Sleet/snow combo falling now. Mainly sleet, as my deck is fairly slick.
  11. SchaumburgStormer
    Sleeting at 32 degrees
  12. Juliancolton
    The furnace and water heater needed to be serviced, but otherwise more annoying than anything. Definitely no drought concerns locally for the foreseeable future
  13. wxmeddler
    The failure mode is for sure if the squall in the TN Valley right now stays together over the mountains and wipes our moisture at 11AM. And the associated low clouds hang around with it.
  14. jaxjagman
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 59 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 820 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Alabama Far Northwest Georgia Middle into Eastern Tennessee * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 820 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 0.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Broken bands of severe thunderstorms will move across the Watch area this evening into the overnight. A few stronger cells embedded within the bands will potentially pose the greatest severe risk. A few tornadoes, including the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes, and severe gusts 60-80 mph are the main threats with the stronger thunderstorms.
  15. MidwestChaser
  16. Eskimo Joe
    I tell ya. D2 Moderate Risk is the kiss of death in these parts. It's a solid setup, but we fail more often than not in these parts.
  17. TSSN+
    0z hrrr says what severe event. Looks like some showers and garden variety storms lol
  18. MillvilleWx
    Keep an eye on the cap (CIN) by the afternoon. If we can get relatively good solar insolation beyond the first batch of convection, we'll be under the gun for the main line as it migrates eastward. Forcing will be excellent, so even if we don't have the most perfect conditions near the surface, we can still get hit decently.
  19. wxmeddler
    My thoughts align with Mark's (surprise surprise). Any cell that breaks out ahead of the line should be taken with caution, but the squall line damage should be fairly localized. This will NOT be a derecho situation where there is widespread 60-80 mph gusts. The 60-80 mph gusts will be localized into 1-3 mile wide swaths. Parameters I'll be watching is MLCAPE, 3CAPE, 0-2km SR Winds
  20. cyclone77
    Eyeballing about an inch here. Pavement has been just wet despite the good rates, but starting to whiten up there now as well.
  21. jvash started following 3/16/26 Severe Weather Event Thread (Day 2 MOD Risk) | Latest: 15% TOR, 60% WIND, 5% HAIL
  22. McHenrySnow
    Sleet/rain mix here atm. Hovering just above freezing.
  23. Chinook
    A lot of severe storm and tornado warnings so far, with, no preliminary tornado reports
  24. The Dude
    Agreed. Depending on what period a storm hits, my son's "weather shelter" at school, is sitting under windows and putting his arms over his head...
  25. GreyHat
    Unfortunately my office doesn't do teleworking. Will just have to see how bad things get in order for them to let people go home early.
  26. Ellinwood
    Highly dependent on the setup, but for tomorrow I'm looking for CAPE >500 (with closer to 1000 for the higher-end scenarios). I'd emphasize that this isn't a GO HIDE ALL AFTERNOON scenario so much as you don't want to be caught out and about if/when the storms roll through. The higher-end stuff will probably be pretty localized.
  27. CAPE
    You can get some awesome shots over here as you know with it being flat and wide open. I have so many cool shelf cloud shots. eta-shots like my current profile pic
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...