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What’s the deal with all those sprays and cleaners out all over the place?

Visiting family in Hope Mills, not really that bad yesterday. Skies were only partly cloudy in the afternoon, but they blocked a lot of the direct sunlight and humidity was not bad at all. A far cry from last year

Something changed last season...irregardless of storm track, I think we are going to be seeing better antecedent air masses in southeast Canada this season, which will allow for more significant "front enders" that have been harder to come by in SNE and the northern mid Atlantic over the past several seasons.

Wooooood

I have pointed out to you before, the position of the PNA ridge also sucked, though......you are on this crusade to prove that replica patterns of the past are no longer producing. I don't think that is entirely true.

I agree with you...as Chuck pointed out. Only positives for winter I suspect will be the EPO and some periods of blocking given the QBO.

79/55. Getting them down while it's still cool.

SST feedback isn't a huge factor, but I think it can act to amplify and protract once it really gets established....JMO.

I like this new pattern better....same with respect to snowfall. I'll take 7 straight clunker seasons to score a wild 3 footer, as opposed to more seasons with 5" above average.

THIS IS GETTING PRETTY BAD. Flash Flood Warning TXC091-209-051800- /O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0061.250705T1446Z-250705T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 946 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Eastern Comal County in south central Texas... Hays County in south central Texas... * Until 100 PM CDT. * At 946 AM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 4 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... New Braunfels, San Marcos, Kyle, Buda, Dripping Springs, Wimberley, Canyon Lake Dam, Canyon Lake, Woodcreek, Uhland, Mustang Ridge, Niederwald, Bear Creek, Driftwood, Mountain City, Hays, Hays City, Hunter and San Marcos Regional Airport. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks. && LAT...LON 3022 9798 3002 9771 2999 9776 2995 9779 2988 9789 2986 9790 2986 9788 2985 9788 2973 9803 2968 9809 2966 9814 2978 9822 2992 9824 3005 9814 FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2-4 INCHES IN 1 HOUR $$ MM

I used 31 days because July and August (and Dec Jan) are 31 day months and many of the records for calendar months are set in those months (not as many in winter given that Feb contributes more than June to lists of all-time record months). Our calendar has seven 31d months, four 30d and February (28 or 29). I can rerun the data and generate a list of top twenty 30-day averages, will hazard a guess it won't change a lot from the above. I went back into the table posted and fixed a few minor ranking errors after going back over my excel file generated list. Below 20th place (the portion you quoted) there are some 'B' 31-day intervals from various years. Each time one of those makes the list, the years below it are bumped down one rank if you were ranking years for their hottest 31-day interval (the B examples would not be in that list).

Looks like a recipe for jock itch.

I am going to say the tree's were saplings or new growth back then and are what are fully grown now for us. So they probably did have less canopy cover providing shade. All the tree's in and around my neighborhood were all planted when the area was built right during WW2.

Im tired of this rain. Its like every late afternoon clouds up and rains...OK we get fri sat sun but you get my idea Hasn't been a great summer for weather from Memorial Day on...yippee we get 3 days but it should be 6 days with rain chance after that

Everyone is doing cookouts today. Having the 4th on a Friday was perfect. Friday is a rest day from work, Saturday is fun day, and Sunday is a relax day.

Wouldn’t have been too much in the 1990s…-7F at CON. It’s closer to -10F today.

51 knots a little closer to the center. Should be an upgrade to at least 45 mph, maybe 50? Seems to be overperforming since the beginning. Wouldnt be surprised to see it become a high end TS, maybe 70 mph.

4th was yesterday bro

Beautiful day for a cookout

Curious how far below average this morning low was Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

There is zero doubt now, that the weather is changing, and radically at that. Mid Atlantic will have tropical storm after tropical storm after tropical storm this summer. You guys are going to get sick and tired of the rain this summer. So are we down in "summery Texas". This thing just REFUSES to leave us! This POS has overstayed its welcome! Kids are dead in Kerr County! We have absolutely had it up to here with the rain! I want to go live in Cairo, Egypt no kidding. Egyptology and Archaeology have taken my entire life by storm! I adore ancient Egyptian Hieroglyphs straight from the Middle Kingdom and the 13th Dynasty! Here is another excellent resource https://cdn.sanity.io/files/cctd4ker/production/73c1c31082beefc0b8157cdf67ff5aed540898f0.pdf I absolutely adore this pdf with all my heart! I wub all those beautiful hieroglyphs!!!!!!! And all the incredible information about the steles and the pharaohs! Archaeology is so exciting! Chan Chan in Peru is another interesting place! Have you checked out the Mayan hieroglyphs? Man I have become head right over heels in love with this stuff!

That's a great idea, if we have a mesonet location in the Park we can actually compare it to the *official* NWS ASOS.....and maybe some corrective factor can be applied to the ASOS (both for temperatures and wind speeds)?

Did we have less trees in the 40s, 50s and 60s when all those 100+ readings and 7+ day heatwaves were happening (as well as years like 1993 and 1999) or was there overgrowth because of the higher rainfall totals we have now? Maybe it's a combination of both? And more rainfall also means more water retention by the foliage which also makes for a slower temperature rise. I agree we need to get the equipment out of that area. We also need to remove some of these trees, I notice we have a lot of parasitic trees that really do not belong here. Tree of *Heaven* being a case in point.

Scenes from Texas are horrific. My wife is friends (well acquaintances) with one whose child is missing. If you look at radar loops it never moved for 8 hours. 10” rain in an hour.

Peak winds at flight level 46 knots ~100 miles E of center: 151600 3126N 07712W 8423 01602 //// +144 //// 161046