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.36" yesterday. Hot spot in Augusta was Weyers Cave with .75". A 5 location blend at Charlottesville was .47".

Ten endless battle of locking the clock at ST or DST continues and from the looks of it, we will inevitably remain on the DST Mar - Nov and ST Nov - Mar change. https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/04/30/congress/congress-daylight-saving-time-trump-00318033

I’m having flashbacks from last fall, endless sunny days with clear skies and no rain in sight. I have a feeling we are going to need a tropical system to break up the upcoming dryness.

Very sad it ends soon.

I saw the Stein. And it opened up my eyes I saw the Stein.

Our sunsets in summer are late enough IMO. It's winter that sucks the life out of you, when you could see darkness approaching at like 3PM

Into the holes? Man WTF?

86 / 50 , breeze - so allergies a bit up

Watch the period Sep 4 - 11th per the european for next shot at 90s outside the hot spots today, there is also the chance for a wetter / cut off like the gfs / ensembles show to update this map.

139 ACE in a 9-year with a 9/16 Gulf major window and a mid-Oct SE echo? That’s peak weenie. I’m on 19/8/6, ~190 ACE... come at me outside Tesco's in Manny innit

In the contest post (that you weenied lmao), I predicted 14/9/3 and 139 ACE. So, I expect another weenie here.

Be careful what you wish for, innit. The only setup that could drown Chazza that weekend is a Gulf storm that shoots up the M85 (I meant the I-85), and the LRC + guidance put that corridor a full week later (mid-October). One storm I have is an Azores fish, the one following that isn't on deck till 10-12 Oct, and anything Caribbean-born needs time to clear Cuba. Translation: odds of a soggy CLT soakdown and a trampoline on 4 Oct are near zero. Looks like you’ll have to earn that 50 K the old-fashioned way: suffering upright, not floating.

Enjoy the summer because it’ll be gone real soon. I’ve been getting over to Ogunquit Beach once every week or 10 days early in the morning to just enjoy the walk and soak in some morning sun. The good life.

This weather is nice but the weenie in me wants more chances for storms. Or at least a good soaking rainstorm. I like a few days of beautiful weather like this but it gets boring when it goes on for too long.

If we could get something that dumps a boatload of rain in the CLT area around the weekend of 10/4, that would be perfect. I have a 50k ultramarathon on what I have now learned is a really difficult course that I'd rather not have to attempt.

What are you predicting? Appreciate the numbers, but I’m not with you on ACE/MH. A long-track Cat 4 typically racks up ~24 ACE by itself. With Erin already in the bank and at least 3–4 major windows left (Gulf mid or late-Sep, SE coast mid-Oct, MDR fish late Oct, Panhandle/Bermuda late Oct), ~190 ACE and ~6 MH are reasonable this year. LRC timing is clean. Hurricanes ~8 is still plausible. And yep: Erin peaked at 160 mph (not knots).

The no 90s in August streak is in jeopardy! Already to 87.4 which is above the forecast high and surging up. 88.7 is the highest I’ve recorded this month so today very likely surpasses that at this rate

Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20)Named Storms: 10 (1) Hurricanes: 6 (0) Major Hurricanes: 3 (0) Fernand

We are waaaaaay overdue for a November witch.

Do they issue lake effect rain advisories?

Wish it snowed here otherwise I’d try that.

Rush Rush disagrees with you BTW He's a good account to follow on Twitter and Lezak predicted 180

1. I don’t see anything near 190 ACE this season. My original prog as stated in the contest thread was for ~139. I see no reason at all to increase that. 2. MH 6? That chance is tiny. I predicted 3 MH in the contest fwiw. 3. H 8 has a much better chance than MH 6 although it will be a challenge. Fwiw, I predicted 9 H in the contest, which is on life support right now. 4. Erin’s highest winds were 160 mph, not 160 knots. I’m assuming that’s a typo.

Mt. Washington Golf Club at Bretton Woods was baked out last weekend. My driver typically goes 275. I was routinely hitting it 325 due to the roll.

82 and muggy.