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  2. I’ve been sidelined from work since November 6th dealing with a lower back injury. Things are looking good that I’ll be cleared tomorrow to go back to work on 12/1. So, of course, a potential winter storm may dump a foot right before I go back & my 20 year old Explorer is immediately put to the test.
  3. EPS mean also went up since the 18z run. 00z vs 18z below
  4. Like the GFS, the Euro does have some marginal surface temps from about midnight to 6am Sunday morning from Chicago south and east. Temps aloft, however, looks to remain below 0°C during the event until you get south of Kankakee and into Indiana. At 925mb, this is the warmest frame. Air above that is solidly below 0°C.
  5. Definitely! And thus, the totals ticked up decently from the 18z run.
  6. before reading, initial instinct was 2011-2012 lol. that's wild, forgot that happened.
  7. 0z Euro has it too. More of a hit for the LV/Poconos but it's there.
  8. We are in midseason form. Gfs big yes. Dr no big no
  9. Oh Im at hour 144 and thought it might be a bit better
  10. Euro nudged south. We are right back in this ballgame.
  11. The GFS ended up with multiple fronts and a couple of shots of wintery precip for the forum area.
  12. Today
  13. 'Next to December now. And still got 3+ in. hailers (and likely over 80 DBZ reflectivity and 55 Kft storm tops), in the state just east of Laredo an hour ago..
  14. AIFS suppressed. Toss. EURO amped. Average them out
  15. 0z GEFS is slightly drier/south compared to 18z. So the GFS and GEFS moved towards each other this run.
  16. GEFS is awful.... ...if you hate snow! There's a substantial increase in the mean from 18z and 12z.
  17. So ugly. What a brutal game.
  18. Gefs look as good as can be expected at this point imho with the threat.
  19. midnight and there's a fuck ton of people online. it's winter already
  20. UKIE also a substantial hit 5” when the run ends with more to go
  21. Ukie is also on board with the storm along the front.
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