All Activity

That blessed stretch where Oak St beach might as well be Waikiki.

Have I ever told you how much of a POS the GFS is?

Are you suggesting that a SNE severe event maybe in peril?? Never could have foreseen that...

Major flooding in PA/NY state. https://nyheritage.org/exhibits/agnes-flood

Two days here next wk of maybe 90. I'm shaking in my boots

were you living down here back then? I remember you said you lived on Long Island growing up I think.

You could be a Nats fan right now too

so similar to 1993 but of a somewhat lower magnitude? That was one of those summers that was hotter the further west you went unlike 1993 which was hot throughout everywhere, my favorite summer before 2010. 1994 was more like 1988.

Agreed, this looks much worse than I was hoping to see this morning. Looks like dynamics aren't as strong as modeled and looking at the lapse rates was a big blow to the gut. The steep lapse rates (~ 7 C/KM) IMO were a big driver in the potential today. But who knows...maybe instead of widespread storms forming into a line we see more discrete stuff with the pre-frontal.

I remember Agnes. She messed up the end of my first grade school year.

1994 continued hot in July at EWR 16 90 degree days (99,98) 4 89 degree days Overall +3.6 for the month Aug was near normal

Yes, it did make landfall here, I wonder why no one ever talks about that, was it a minimal tropical storm when it was making landfall here?

Already up to 5.5" of rain for the month. Quite a few power outages around after the line came through last night. Surprised CLE only reported .35" of rain yesterday... must have been missed by almost every storm.

Agnes

I could see this becoming an anvil/mammata late afternoon from southern VT/W CT, with distant ominous thunder that devolves to just occasional orange lightning and a period of moderate decay rains. Nasty mosquito evoking weather where it's warm and sultry with lighter rain might be the biggest disaster that befalls western zones out of this when that claims the late day for them. You should probably plan to chase to see that yay

Total since the 16th is a whopping .6 Not like it's needed because everything is plenty soggy but I feel like I got cheated.

Only caveat on Sunday is clouds (debris) from the MCS to the north and any storms that make it south, but agree Sunday hits 90 as it should clear out and be hot enough in gerneral (overall) especially in the hot spots and the more south you go.

1972 - Hurricane Agnes moved onshore near Cape San Blas FL with wind gusts to 80 mph, and exited Maine on the 26th. There were 117 deaths, mainly due to flooding from North Carolina to New York State, and total damage was estimated at more than three billion dollars. Up to 19 inches of rain deluged western Schuylkill County PA. The rains of Hurricane Agnes resulted in one of the greatest natural disasters in U.S. history. Agnes caused more damage than all other tropical cyclones in the previous six years combined (which included Celia and Camille). (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) Didn't Agnes also make a landfall near JFK Tony? 1794: A violent tornado commenced west of the Hudson River in New York. The tornado traveled through Poughkeepsie then crossed the border into Connecticut where it went through the towns of New Milford, Waterbury, North Haven, and Branford. It then continued into Long Island Sound. The tornado did extensive damage, and the funnel was reported by one observer to look like the "aurora borealis." <<< this must have been an F3 at least 1835 - A tornado tore through the center of New Brunswick NJ killing five persons and scattering debris as far as Manhattan Island. The tornado provided the first opportunity for scientists to study firsthand the track of such a storm. (David Ludlum) <<< this sounds like an F3 too also wow, you don't see stuff like this in this region anymore. and this must have been the peak of the heat in 1994, July and August were not this hot for us (but very hot for Philly.) Not historical like 1993, but just a step below it. Highs: EWR: 103 (1994) NYC: 98 (1994) LGA: 97 (1994) JFK: 98 (1994)

Next area of clouds already in WPA with an arrival of between 1 - 2 PM we'll see if its more scattered clouds or if storms develop later this PM. Off to the races the next 4 - 6 hours.

An intensifying 998 low in the St Lawrence valley and most of us get jack dick. Why do people bother with convection?

Not saying this is a positive or negative for today, however, sometimes I think there is too much focus on the timing of the actual cold front for our region. 9 times out of 10, the focus for our convection is a pre-frontal trough and never with the actual cold front. In the rare setups where we get moderate-to-extreme instability, that is where we can get a second round of convection with the cold front but when it comes to forcing/dynamics its usually s/w track and timing and pre-frontal trough. Now...more often than not the better dynamics are typically tied in close proximity to the cold front. Pre-frontal troughs can be a huge boost for us but they also kill alot of our opportunities.

I would have to agree.

Low of 69 with .03” of rain. We’ll be on the river this morning. Probably have to pull out early this afternoon. Keeping a close eye on things.

people who love blue skies and sunshine. find an a/c to stand near

Im already sweating Who the hell likes this crap?