afvet89 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I wouldn't be worried if the GGEM went east unless it does ridiculously so. It is the last model with an LP inland. right. A little east is ok, just not a major correction like near the gfs or something.Would love to see a low right on top of the eastern shore.Dover sounds nice.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GFS may have had a convective feedback problem....showed a mini QPF bomb on S NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 UK is further east...uh-oh. http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MODEL=ukmet&TIME=2011012400®ION=USLCC&FCST=all&LEVEL=0&F2=none&C1=hght&C2=tmpc&VEC=none&F1=p06i Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Idk guys...I wish we were still talking about how much snow instead of if we get snow. To me this seems like a lot needs to go right. I'm close to calling it quits and looking at the next threat. OT But GO STEELERS!!! At least the interior won that one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Why? The GFS is very similar to the Euro.Take into account it's SE bias, too. He'll the Ukue isn't bad (might even be west of it's last run) despite what PSUHazleton says. The 0z NAM is a good deal west if it's 18z too. Game on, to me. This should trend west still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Just not feeling it. This threat reminds me ALOT of a storm from 2 years ago. Was a major hit for CPA 5 days out...kept going east and east. It had temp issues also. What came to fruition was some light rain in NYC and a moderate hit for ENE. JMO...and with my track record doesn't hold too much water lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 While we await whatever the hell the GGEM throws out -- down to 1.5*F here. Wmsptwx, you are referring to the 1/13/08 I believe...yeah that was a big bust for the NYC area. We weren't expecting much so it wasn't as big but NYC had a heavy snow warning (Which of course is now defunct). It bombed out too late. That of course was an SNE winter -- BOS got smacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM is pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 ggem stays the course!990 low over dover, just like I requested it.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 UK is further east...uh-oh. http://weather.uwyo....EC=none&F1=p06i Ukmet looks like where it has been lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM still looks mighty warm -- might be rain for us still. With that said, it's still west of everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM ftw please. Yea the UK came west. So far tonight is a good night for our region. Let's pray the Euro doesn't screw that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM still looks mighty warm -- might be rain for us still. With that said, it's still west of everything else. Looks like snow for all of CPA. I think you need to take a break man. 540 line runs from Hgr NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like snow for all of CPA. I think you need to take a break man. 540 line runs from Hgr NNE It's really hard to tell on those B&W maps. It looks like the 540 is further west than that. I'll see when the colors come out. Regardless, it's still a western outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GFS ens. Good. I expect a NW shift. I just know it will come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 GGEM needs to bump a tad East. I need a surface low over Cape May not Dover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Lots of individuals favoring the OP with the sharp cutoff.[GFS] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 While we await whatever the hell the GGEM throws out -- down to 1.5*F here. Wmsptwx, you are referring to the 1/13/08 I believe...yeah that was a big bust for the NYC area. We weren't expecting much so it wasn't as big but NYC had a heavy snow warning (Which of course is now defunct). It bombed out too late. That of course was an SNE winter -- BOS got smacked. I'm pretty sure it was a storm from February that every model blew up for days and I-81 west was getting plastered with up to 2 ft snow amounts. Then all of a sudden Henry M put up a snow graphic with a 25"+ swath from around Garrett County, MD to Lake Champlain, and then all of a sudden models switched to a well east solution that even missed I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Lots of individuals favoring the OP with the sharp cutoff.[GFS] Man you're a real pain in the ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Man you're a real pain in the ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm pretty sure it was a storm from February that every model blew up for days and I-81 west was getting plastered with up to 2 ft snow amounts. Then all of a sudden Henry M put up a snow graphic with a 25"+ swath from around Garrett County, MD to Lake Champlain, and then all of a sudden models switched to a well east solution that even missed I-95. Nah, he's talking about a storm that wound up with light rain in NYC and hit New England hard. I think you're talking about something in February 2009 -- that one had an inverted trough with it and gave some areas 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Man....DO I WISH THIS WOULD VERIFY!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Man....DO I WISH THIS WOULD VERIFY!!!! yes that is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 down to -5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 how cold does it have to be to do the boiling water trick / thingy? -lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 down to -5 .6*F in Hazleton now. DP -2*F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 EURO is starting. Data importation to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 FIM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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