Elim72 Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM One thing I noticed that I haven't seen in years up here. The last time I seen so many lady bugs trying to get in was the 90s. It was usually stink bugs but this year it's lady bugs. Some of those 90s winters were nice in the snowfall department here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM 2 hours ago, Elim72 said: One thing I noticed that I haven't seen in years up here. The last time I seen so many lady bugs trying to get in was the 90s. It was usually stink bugs but this year it's lady bugs. Some of those 90s winters were nice in the snowfall department here. We still have spotted lantern flies fluttering around at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM WUSA 9 forecast 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 11:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:19 AM Steve DiMartino's winter forecast. It's NY/NJ/PA centric, but his maps include part of this forum fwiw. https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted yesterday at 11:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:19 AM 6 hours ago, bncho said: WUSA 9 forecast Been averaging 12-13” a winter since I moved back here including the 2022-23 rat. This prediction triples that, so I’d love to see it actually happen. I’m a tad more bearish but we only need one storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 11:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:22 AM 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Been averaging 12-13” a winter since I moved back here including the 2022-23 rat. This prediction triples that, so I’d love to see it actually happen. I’m a tad more bearish but we only need one storm! That bodes well imby too. I'd take that in a heartbeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elim72 Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM Steve D is a good dude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted yesterday at 06:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:14 PM I feel like we know what every winter forecast is going to be. Overall above average temps and precip. Snowfall predictions will come down to either keeping it in the single digits because of the above average temps, or calling your shot on 15”-20”+ because of a big one having just the right timing. Then there will be those that just take the “safe” route and go in-between those two options. The funny thing being that the people shouting that a shutout type of winter is in play, and the ones saying the big one is in play, don’t have much different winter outlooks. It’ll ultimately come down to luck with timing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM Well we clear the very end of October with no strong coastal in time frame and let’s now hope we can do same 11/25-11/30 for favorable analog trend and current mildness also bodes well historically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM We are flirting with 1965 when a severe drought continued thru 1966. The + 1.8 DJF 65-66 El Nino did NOT break the 4 year drought. I simply report historical reality. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Weatherbell has their winter forecast out. Slightly above normal snow for DC. We're in the +1F DFN for temp though it seems to be front weighted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 13 hours ago, IronTy said: Weatherbell has their winter forecast out. Slightly above normal snow for DC. We're in the +1F DFN for temp though it seems to be front weighted. So, by inference that might imply the expectation of a somewhat back-loaded winter? (ETA: a +1 departure for the season actually sounds pretty amazing, relative to some of the +4 to +6 I've seen tossed around. +1 would indicate some good opportunities for solid events can occur; +4 or +6 implies shit the blinds, and "party" like it's 2022-23!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: So, by inference that might imply the expectation of a somewhat back-loaded winter? Yeah. I think it was just a preview of their winter forecast to premium members so they didn't break out month by month but it seemed JB was pretty clear that the numbers hinge on December being warmer. But he also indicated there's a chance for December to come in much colder and admitted it would blow their forecast if it did. Who knows, I guess I'll have to wait for the detailed forecast to come out to see what they really think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, IronTy said: Yeah. I think it was just a preview of their winter forecast to premium members so they didn't break out month by month but it seemed JB was pretty clear that the numbers hinge on December being warmer. But he also indicated there's a chance for December to come in much colder and admitted it would blow their forecast if it did. Who knows, I guess I'll have to wait for the detailed forecast to come out to see what they really think. If JB was worried about a blown forecast, he shouldn't limit it to just December as the cause. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elim72 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I have a feeling December could suprise everyone. We are in uncharted territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EC609 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago On 10/29/2026 at 11:34 PM, bncho said: WUSA 9 forecast Winchester averages more than Leesburg, IAD and Fairfax. Closer to 25. The area around Shawneeland in Frederick County Va averages up over 30 + at 2k. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 hours ago, Elim72 said: I have a feeling December could suprise everyone. We are in uncharted territory. December is going to be a make or break month. If it's a torch then we're probably toast for the winter as a whole. If we can manage one or two events then it probably means we're setting us up for a solid winter and the pattern won't be as hostile. I'm going to set my expectations low and expect another 1997-98. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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