Winter 2026-2027. Historic Potential

[Ji]

Crazy that 23-24 Winter had an overall -AO DJFM in the mean, with 3/4 months negative. Was the warmest Winter on record for US
Actually since 22-23 every Winter Dec-Mar in the mean has been -ao, albeit slightly. 

Canada was so torched no indices seemed to matter

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Let's hope the SE Canada ridge doesn't build in October like it did in 2023

CPC's October forecast released today

[mitchnick]

7 hours ago, Ji said:

You were in high school in what year?

Hey, at least it was 1972-1976 and not 1872-1876. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Let's hope the SE Canada ridge doesn't build in October like it did in 2023

CPC's October forecast released today

Looks a lot like it save for the deep se/FL.

[Ji]

I found some of the euro seasonal stuff from Fall 2023 for that winter.

[Ji]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

I found some of the euro seasonal stuff from Fall 2023 for that winter.

[forkyfork]

 

[mitchnick]

20 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

 

Surprised you didn't post this snowfall map posted in the NE forum that shows AN snowfall in a good part of the Mid Atlantic. You commented on it in the NE forum. 

[forkyfork]

that map means nothing without the years listed

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

that map means nothing without the years listed

It didn't stop you from commenting in the NE forum, nor did you question it. Lol

[forkyfork]

40 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

You commented on it in the NE forum. 

no i did not

[Benjamn3]

Super El Niño this analog year that, anymore…

 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

5 hours ago, Ji said:

I found some of the euro seasonal stuff from Fall 2023 for that winter.

Look at how bad it did south of the Aleutian islands

That's why seasonal models showing a -200dm +PNA this Feb I don't think will be right. The pattern hasn't been happening recently. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

5 hours ago, Ji said:

I found some of the euro seasonal stuff from Fall 2023 for that winter.

 

Just brutal

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

 

Just brutal

Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.

Yeah nice opposite correlation the last 3 years lol. Meanwhile the CANSIPS can't even get days 1-5 right. 

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.

Chuck is in negative Nancy mode. His usual state. He swings like a pendulum lately though.

[40/70 Benchmark]

34 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.

Like I told you before, it's not going to be too warm under the ridge, which will be over se Canada this year...it was over the SW US the past two seasons. Apples and oranges to compare it this year.