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May 16th-May 20th Severe Weather


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00z 3k NAM has a very impressive area of ingredients coming together in Northern Indiana and immediately surrounding areas for Monday afternoon. Nice sounding in South Bend.

image.thumb.png.9cb76eaa7a54318750f9b45b37ce933b.png

The HRRR much less impressive therefore I’m not showing it :P

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Kind of ominous reminds me of the Gaylord 2022 setup, but a little more south.  It all depends on whether something can fire far enough south to latch onto the warm front.  Best forcing is too far north, but it only takes one cell.

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Models are really crapping this line out as it moves into eastern Iowa later tonight.  Models are also driving tonight's line well south through Missouri, which then leads to everything on Monday developing and staying down there.  This might end up being a big dud of a weekend for areas around here.

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5 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Models are really crapping this line out as it moves into eastern Iowa later tonight.  Models are also driving tonight's line well south through Missouri, which then leads to everything on Monday developing and staying down there.  This might end up being a big dud of a weekend for areas around here.

Yeah just a bad overall setup for our areas.  Several days of action in the Missouri Valley, and then it skips over and impacts areas east for Tuesday.  

 

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5 hours ago, WestMichigan said:

Topped out at 54MPH gust at my house.  Windy, but nothing exceptionally strong for this area.

Similar here.  I got hit with the narrower part of the line so it didn’t last long.  That’s my only complaint.  It didn’t rain much.

The line got a lot beefier as it moved to the eastern parts of the state.

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21 minutes ago, thomp2mp said:

big ol tree was down at Elizabeth Lake & Cooley Lake in Waterford

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Decent blow through today while golfing. While we’ve had quite a few severe storms this season, nothing really that bad has whacked us yet. 

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