Lucy Pull Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 GEFS precip mean increased for 18z. Operational still on the northwestern edge of ensemble but actually a few members even more amped than operational this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Guess its going to be a question of what model caves first? Serious question. Has anyone seen a situation where the storm was so close (inside 100 hrs) and the major models were still far off each other? I think we had some crazy triple low setup in like 2014 that went OTS of NYC. Cant remember the details exactly GFS was to blame for the total whiff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Guess its going to be a question of what model caves first? Serious question. Has anyone seen a situation where the storm was so close (inside 100 hrs) and the major models were still far off each other? I have with the short bus GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 actually, gfs ticked a little east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, MickeyTim6533 said: actually, gfs ticked a little east Members are more west 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Members are more west Big fan of the W movement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Birds~69 said: Big fan of the W movement... oh ok! well that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, MickeyTim6533 said: oh ok! well that's good. Until it dramatically turns E and screws us...that's where the problem starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Ralph what is Hurricane saying now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 is the GFS really not going to back down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 11 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Ralph what is Hurricane saying now? He takes naps like RedSky ...hopefully later? 0z is where it's at. Looks like pretty heavy stuff going to slide S of Philly... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 AIFS coastal crusher‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: AIFS coastal crusher‼️ Big fan of the AIFS! 39F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 18z euro just caved to the gfs over the Dakotas. Idk if it’ll lead to a hit but that’s wild to me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Heisy said: 18z euro just caved to the gfs over the Dakotas. Idk if it’ll lead to a hit but that’s wild to me Euro caving to GFS....that's a bit wild. 39F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Heisy said: 18z euro just caved to the gfs over the Dakotas. Idk if it’ll lead to a hit but that’s wild to me coastal pulls away sadly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Skynet half caved partial phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: coastal pulls away sadly It came like 200 miles west. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Dude if the GFS is leading the way on this holy shit lmfao. I’ll wait until it’s 0z run tonight and the EURO tonight before getting ahead of myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said: It came like 200 miles west. That's a good thing w/a couple days to go... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: Skynet half caved partial phase And you're not OK w/that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 No idea what this means, MA subforum... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: No idea what this means, MA subforum... Euro eps is phasing more of the northern stream like the gfs is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro eps is phasing more of the northern stream like the gfs is. Well, that sounds good. How the hell are models caving to the GFS??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: Well, that sounds good. How the hell is are models caving to the GFS??? Check the eps out. Insane man. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 44 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Ralph what is Hurricane saying now? Follow the euro it is almost never wrong 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 We are so fucking back. All of the 18z models tended better in every way. A couple more ticks and the outlier gfs gets some support. Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 33 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: He takes naps like RedSky ...hopefully later? 0z is where it's at. Looks like pretty heavy stuff going to slide S of Philly... Hey I work 10hr days dude lol cut me some slack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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