“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, because I'm sure it's greater than 10:1.....just saying it's not kuchera, though it maybe similar. my F5 site has a similar proprietary ratio formula.

Haven’t seen a NARCAN map in a while… how are those looking?

[MuddyWx]

1 minute ago, MuddyWx said:

PVD NAM bufkit.. my god. From 10z to 16z - 24", 30mph winds, 50-60mph gusts 

fun monday morning commute

[Prismshine Productions]

PVD NAM bufkit.. my god. From 10z to 16z - 24", 30mph winds, 50-60mph gusts 

What website

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[MuddyWx]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

What website

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https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Thoughts on drifts in blizzard warning zones?  

10 feet open farm land? The potential winds are nutz

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

12 shade 8 on level. JESUS you will have close to 40 by Wednesday 

Lowest was 9.5" and highest 14" yesterday...most common was 13"..but like I said, I added 4.5" of cement....though last inch or so was more fluff.

[ariof]

Good luck to anyone trying to fly to the East Coast. Everything canceled starting around 18Z tomorrow, Monday, and I'd guess Tuesday AM as well.

The closest we can get before Tuesday is Cleveland. At least we can get there in time to get a rental car to get to BOS before the snow begins (it will be tight on the Pike).

Have friends who think they are coming into BOS on Monday. Ha!

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

10 feet open farm land? The potential winds are nutz

Trying to recall the last big snow event that had such a high upside for wind for so many areas.  The Dec 2005 was pretty limited in area iirc.   

[Fozz]

31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol yeah I didn’t get to respond in time. You get a pack fetish once it starts getting to those possible levels. 

I’ve really enjoyed the persistent pack we’ve had for the past month, even going back before the big storm.

And it’s still around a foot deep even now after almost a month and a few smaller events.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/

Can you run that for KLWM?

[wxsniss]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like this better than the wxbell version...where do you get that?

https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/
 

[Fozz]

Man I came back north at the perfect time.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, ariof said:

Good luck to anyone trying to fly to the East Coast. Everything canceled starting around 18Z tomorrow, Monday, and I'd guess Tuesday AM as well.

The closest we can get before Tuesday is Cleveland. At least we can get there in time to get a rental car to get to BOS before the snow begins (it will be tight on the Pike).

Have friends who think they are coming into BOS on Monday. Ha!

A friend of mine was asking my thoughts on them flying into BOS on Tuesday.  I told them to expect delays if all goes well 

[Prismshine Productions]

GFS se

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[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Trying to recall the last big snow event that had such a high upside for wind for so many areas.  The Dec 2005 was pretty limited in area iirc.   

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Haven’t seen a NARCAN map in a while… how are those looking?

[NoCORH4L]

1 minute ago, Fozz said:

Man I picked the perfect time to come back north.

Head up to the airport to get some good gusts.  Wide open up there. 

[MuddyWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Can you run that for KLWM?

18:1, 24.4"

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

GFS se

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Qpf shield def SE

[Masswx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Qpf shield def SE

Do we really care about the gfs at 18 hours out

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is 00z NAM

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Masswx said:

Do we really care about the gfs at 18 hours out

It’s a piece of guidance.  I weigh it.  I’m not concerned about it though. 

[Henry's Weather]

Undeniable east ticks over past 4 runs on GFS. Should not minimize this fact. Would rather be in Taunton than in Worcester 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I don't anticipate many changes if any....

 

First Call:

[40/70 Benchmark]

Why is the NBM so bonkers when nothing else is that high? GFS and EURO are such lower...

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Why is the NBM so bonkers when nothing else is that high? GFS and EURO are such lower...

Must have SREF as part of their calculations

[Henry's Weather]

Cmc holds serve, shows a strong deformation signature

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

Must have SREF as part of their calculations

Exactly what I was thinking...

[bristolri_wx]

8 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/
 

This site also has the updated MPAS version of the RRFS they are working on, and a nicer view of the HREF's (attached).  It's a cool site.

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Exactly what I was thinking...

I’m not confident this doesn’t slip east - spider senses are acting up, been here before