SouthCoastMA Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 I'm more interested in Euro AI. If that bumps NW Ill feel more confident. The 12z Euro was so far SE that it almost has to come back a bit. The AIGFS run was mildly alarming I guess, since it matches the GEFS mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I'm more interested in Euro AI. If that bumps NW Ill feel more confident. The 12z Euro was so far SE that it almost has to come back a bit. The AIGFS run was mildly alarming I guess THIS, except AIGFS is almost as trashy as ICON! And Euro is not the Euro we used to see! It seems they switched the code with the AI guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: THIS, except AIGFS is almost as trashy as ICON! And Euro is not the Euro we used to see! It seems they switched the code with the AI guy! As much as the euro ticks me off, I don’t have the good feelings of a storm when only the gfs op shows it. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, CoastalWx said: As much as the euro ticks me off, I don’t have the good feelings of a storm when only the gfs op shows it. 18z CMC looked like it would have been good again maybe even slightly better at hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z CMC looked like it would have been good again maybe even slightly better at hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Euro will be a bit better I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, ineedsnow said: Euro will be a bit better I think Hopefully more like 6z and not some sort of uninspiring compromise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 yup coming west of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Meh. 18z AIFS a small tick east. Thought it looked slightly better at 500 early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 not there yet but much better compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: not there yet but much better compared to 12z I mean it had to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 In a normal season whenever the last time that was I would say this is right where we want it at day 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: yup coming west of 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Meh. 18z AIFS a small tick east. Thought it looked slightly better at 500 early on You’re right. Comparing 500 environment surrounding the shortwave trough in question it argued for something north I thoughts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 huge jump west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: That's west? It must have been in Bermuda. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 quite a bit better here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's west? It must have been in Bermuda. Yes at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's west? It must have been in Bermuda. bottom image 12z top image 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 I figured there was a catch when I heard way west ..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Creeping and crawling. Let the tuck begin. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Get rid of all that crap east of main vorticity and we got something. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 EPS better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Having flashbacks to Juno . Just kept coming NW starting day 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: EPS better! again, 12z was very bad. Better as in good? or better as in still a miss but closer? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Get rid of all that crap east of main vorticity and we got something. Or, better yet, do what the GFS does and turn that more meridional. In that position it would close it off just south of LI 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Having flashbacks to Juno . Just kept coming NW starting day 5 Some of the earlier runs reminded me of Juno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: again, 12z was very bad. Better as in good? or better as in still a miss but closer? better as in still a miss but closer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Tick tick Courtesy of a meteorologist from another forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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