Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[Ji]

Icon looks nothing like euro. What are you all talking about

[Chris78]

All the models tonight  have unfortunately trended towards the Euro at h5.

Except for maybe the aigfs

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Icon looks nothing like euro. What are you all talking about

Sure looked like the wave got squashed more before trying to amplify

[Chris78]

Look at the vort over the last 5 runs

 

[stormtracker]

GFS looking pretty bad so far

[stormtracker]

Worse than 18z.  Next up, CMC

[Ji]

Worse than 18z.  Next up, CMC

This storm is over

[stormtracker]

OK.  CMC is bad too. Thermals are   Next up, Euro

[Chris78]

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

This storm is over

King euro

[LP08]

12z to 0z.

[Amped]

Ouch

[Ji]

OK.  CMC is bad too. Thermals are   Next up, Euro

Thermals? There isn’t even a storm

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Thermals? There isn’t even a storm

We get a little rain.

[bncho]

13 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Been studying for my test today in 30 minutes so haven't been paying too much attention to the models but this sums up my thinking. Besides the December and one January storm every other setup seemed more likely to fail than not. Honestly, I've checked out of tracking since Jan 25th because nothing ever showed likelihood even close to that! This is the first storm since then where everything checks out. The models are bouncing around but never too far from a snowstorm, the pattern itself checks out, and its unlikely that it completely rug pulls. Will be paying more attention throughout the rest of the week. 

This post aged like milk

[ravensrule]

Just now, bncho said:

This post aged like milk

So you’re so confident this is definitely over?. 

[Ji]

No separation. Not going to get a Sunday storm when Saturday has one. When we are at a crossroads…..

[Maestrobjwa]

Well @psuhoffman, it may snow on the last week of February every now and then...but unfortunately, the secs/mecs/hecs last week of Feb barrier remains undefeated...(not talking about March, of course)

[WesternFringe]

17 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Well @psuhoffman, it may snow on the last week of February every now and then...but unfortunately, the secs/mecs/hecs last week of Feb barrier remains undefeated...(not talking about March, of course)

I like how everyone now knows for sure what is going to happen on Sunday.  

Eta- And through the end of the month now, too?

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, WesternFringe said:

I like how everyone now knows for sure what is going to happen on Sunday.

All the models except the AIs fell right with the 12 and 18z Euro. Not like we have a whole hodge-podge of solutions tonight--they all moved in the same direction.

[Cobalt]

18 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Well @psuhoffman, it may snow on the last week of February every now and then...but unfortunately, the secs/mecs/hecs last week of Feb barrier remains undefeated...(not talking about March, of course)

Why are you still here tracking if we never get any notable events in late February? Why not just cross that out of the calendar each year and take a 1-2 week break?

[LP08]

Nary a sprinkle on the Ukie either.  Did we miss a hurricane hunter plane out there today?  Everything looks extremely similar minus the Ais.

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Nary a sprinkle on the Ukie either.  Did we miss a hurricane hunter plane out there today?  Everything looks extremely similar minus the Ais.

Models must've gotten a really good sampling sometimes today--seems they're all in lockstep in the direction they moved.

[Amped]

I feel like this is the 3rd time we've seen this script play out in the past 365 days.

[bncho]

Euro AI has been trending worse every run but it's the only hope we got. 

[stormtracker]

Euro is awful. Go to bed 

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

Euro AI has been trending worse every run but it's the only hope we got. 

Can I sign for this right now?. 

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Euro is awful. Go to bed 

I won’t be dreaming of umbrellas tonight. 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I won’t be dreaming of umbrellas tonight. 

Enjoy the Sunday afternoon snow showers.  Looks increasingly likely I’m going to Houston this weekend.  Will wait tilll tomm afternoon to call time of death  

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Enjoy the Sunday afternoon snow showers 

Beggars can’t be choosers. 

[MickeyTim6533]

2 hours ago, ravensrule said:

Beggars can’t be choosers. 

King EURO wins again