jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I will take it Doubting it’ll even be that much without a significant NW shift. I don’t see anything to support anything getting west of Montauk maybe. Today was a kick in the crotch. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: new GFS shunks DT with close to 0-NC then OTS He's hugging the nbm now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like we got some of it too I would love to see the surface map for this one. Seems the coast changed to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: My money is on Blutarsky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Anyone know what time that new weathergeek model runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: I would love to see the surface map for this one. Seems the coast changed to rain? I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 00z offers little help at the onset for any snow flakes NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago SREF as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: I would love to see the surface map for this one. Seems the coast changed to rain? From the KU books: The trough went negative and the storm wound up tracking inland relative to NYC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Its crazy how the convection is so pronounced and widespread it creates it own cold pool and shreds apart the ULL over the coast Wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: 00z offers little help at the onset for any snow flakes NAM Looks just lame altogether other than a 75 mile wide strip near the Tidewater and E NC. 0.3” liquid as snow for Raleigh is notable and I think a warning event down there but nothing historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: From the KU books: The trough went negative and the storm wound up tracking inland relative to NYC. Thanks so much @donsutherland1 I was always envious that my cousins near W-B got more snow than in my hometown. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 34 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Anyone know what time that new weathergeek model runs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKWeatherGeek. Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago It would be nice to wake up early Sunday morning and check the radar and see bands of snow backing in off the ocean for suffolk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Prue11 said: It would be nice to wake up early Sunday morning and check the radar and see bands of snow backing in off the ocean for suffolk I'm always reminded of the Feb or March 1999 storm which was to my knowledge not on anyone's radar for NY snowfall but overnight backed in / filled in over Montauk resulting in a 14" storm w/blizzard conditions there, 6" to the forks, but cloudy at the Nassau/Suffolk border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, UKWeatherGeek. said: ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance. I almost just vomited trying to read this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY Its in the KU book. I have it. Im not going to copy & post it, cause it's probably copyright infringement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 14 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I'm always reminded of the Feb or March 1999 storm which was to my knowledge not on anyone's radar for NY snowfall but overnight backed in / filled in over Montauk resulting in a 14" storm w/blizzard conditions there, 6" to the forks, but cloudy at the Nassau/Suffolk border. how much was Montauk supposed to get that night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 23 minutes ago, UKWeatherGeek. said: ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance. the storm is the size of a texas state and half and we get nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY Storm got to Hatteras & & turned due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: how much was Montauk supposed to get that night? Nothing. Warnings got put out at 3-4am and by 8-9am there was already a few inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Nothing. Warnings got put out at 3-4am and by 8-9am there was already a few inches i wish to see that one of these days, this weekend would be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 7 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i wish to see that one of these days, this weekend would be great Probably not for most but far eastern LI/Twin Forks could get a late surprise, wouldn't take much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKWeatherGeek. Posted 10 minutes ago Share Posted 10 minutes ago GFS00z north ICON north. Are we seeing a last minute adjustment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 1 minute ago Author Share Posted 1 minute ago Disgustingly close miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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