The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, Snowncanes said:

AIGFS way south with the low. Doesn’t phase early enough and slides south. Still a little QPF but mostly light stuff from the northern stream energy.

But its a step in the right direction from 12z.

[Snowncanes]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

But it’s a step in the right direction from 12z.

True, I guess I hadn’t seen how bad the 12z run was haha. Definitely trended better for us

[BornAgain13]

18z GFS not gonna get it done. Closes off to late. 

Edit... gets it done in some areas!

[BornAgain13]

Good run for South Carolina 

[ADB83]

18z out to Hour 126 nice hit for South Carolina and eastern Georgia.


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[MDsnowPRO]

South Carolina special 

[StantonParkHoya]

Coastal special on 18z GFS


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[olafminesaw]

Dang. 

[BornAgain13]

Just now, olafminesaw said:

Dang. 

So close yet so far

[BornAgain13]

Hopefully the 18z Euro drops the hammer on everyone. 

[StantonParkHoya]

If euro is east again, I fear the OTS threat


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[neatlburbwthrguy]

Any maps to show?

[ADB83]

Any maps to show?

If you live anywhere, not on the coast or in South Carolina, they are empty. Literally nothing lol. If you live in South Carolina or eastern Georgia here you go


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[ADB83]

Ahem, Wilmington is a place


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True! I should’ve zoomed out!


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[neatlburbwthrguy]

3 minutes ago, ADB83 said:

If you live anywhere, not on the coast or in South Carolina, they are empty. Literally nothing lol. If you live in South Carolina or eastern Georgia here you go


Need the northwest trend so north Georgia gets in the action 

[wncsnow]

AI GFS is still trending west. Leeside enhancement showing up too

[StantonParkHoya]

AI GFS is still trending west. Leeside enhancement showing up too

AI is a solid NC snow, really solid Raleigh east.


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[olafminesaw]

22 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

So close yet so far

We can't seem to get a trough to tilt negative to save our lives the last few years. Not being negative about the prospects for this storm, just an observation 

[SouthboundYank]

28 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Good run for South Carolina 

28 minutes ago, ADB83 said:

18z out to Hour 126 nice hit for South Carolina and eastern Georgia.

26 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said:

South Carolina special 

Good early reads, and TY all...but you know, if that would come to fruition, I'd gladly ask the snow gods to send that modeled wx to any of the surrounding environs except Myrtle Beach.   

Having said that, The Wilmington NWS team posted a good afternoon disco concerning the upcoming weekend...I couldn't include all of it in the screen cap, but there was a good two paragraphs of all of the moving pieces prior to what I pasted below.

 

[LakeNormanStormin]

Still time for this to migrate north and west. Fun tracking ahead 

[eyewall]

Smoking cirrus in Raleigh on the 18z GFS.

[MDsnowPRO]

22 minutes ago, SouthboundYank said:

Good early reads, and TY all...but you know, if that would come to fruition, I'd gladly ask the snow gods to send that modeled wx to any of the surrounding environs except Myrtle Beach.   

Having said that, The Wilmington NWS team posted a good afternoon disco concerning the upcoming weekend...I couldn't include all of it in the screen cap, but there was a good two paragraphs of all of the moving pieces prior to what I pasted below.

 

Thanks for sharing, I’m sure broadway at the beach would look beautiful blanketed in snow

[PenguinLover]

It needs to either trend west or develop sooner along the Gulf Coast so that Metro ATL can get in on some fun. At this point, it's hard to say the likelihood of the latter. Probably unlikely. But after this past weekend, I feel that anything's possible.

[TampaMan]

If I live in Tampa where should I talk about my frustration about the LACK of weather? I moved here in November and it has probably rained 4 times. This sun is driving me insane...

[suzook]

3 minutes ago, PenguinLover said:

It needs to either trend west or develop sooner along the Gulf Coast so that Metro ATL can get in on some fun. At this point, it's hard to say the likelihood of the latter. Probably unlikely. But after this past weekend, I feel that anything's possible.

This isn't our storm

[QC_Halo]

9 minutes ago, TampaMan said:

 I moved here in November and it has probably rained 4 times. 

Just wait a few months…

[WXNewton]

NWS blend of Models...

[neatlburbwthrguy]

9 minutes ago, suzook said:

This isn't our storm

Pray for trends, probably best shot ATL will have this winter.  

[eyewall]

18z GFS is a whiff here:

[wncsnow]

Can a met chime in on which models are used for the NBM? Are AI models in it? Weathernext?