LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: The ground is going to be white deep into March You’re like 15 miles south of me. How much is still left there? I’ve been away since Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, LVblizzard said: You’re like 15 miles south of me. How much is still left there? I’ve been away since Monday. 9 miles south of I78 5" depth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago What does the operational Euro say? Wfmz is still bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: 9 miles south of I78 5" depth Wow so basically no melting this week. Yeah this will stick around for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago My god this is really becoming a snow bust lmfao 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bringmesnow1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18 minutes ago, RedSky said: The sleet output should be epic in southeast Pa Oh. Joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: 9 miles south of I78 5" depth About 4" in Warminster fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: What does the operational Euro say? Wfmz is still bullish. No 0z for that yet (at least that I have access to). Last was 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Changeover up here looks to happen between 1 and 3PM Sunday. Roughly 5-7" on the ground prior to any change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Wow so basically no melting this week. Yeah this will stick around for awhile. A high water content base after Sunday and a cold 30 day long range loaded like bear for future chances Not down at all over this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here. My 0z Saturday prediction with sleet my fault Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Haven't had chance to deep dive into weather.us's stuff but here is the 0z NAM p-type from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Good news the ICON is a tic better. Bad news it’s the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Welp, the cold is here at least. 15F/DP -5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 56 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: First Call Forecast Went with a EC/AIFS/AIGFS blend with a stronger push on the FGEN, front end thump to help with many on Sunday AM, but I am very very wary of the NAM Nest right now, so will revise if necessary tomorrow. For now, I'm sticking with this. I do think banding will be impressive area wide. Just a matter of how thermals behave. Going to be a big day of trend monitoring tomorrow. Also, the lines are imperfect. I wish I had a better program, but utilized Microsoft Designer and it wasn't too bad. Wil work with it. Well, I was gonna post this but…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Call me crazy but I’ll go with 10” for my backyard plus maybe an inch of sleet on top. Don’t think we get any significant freezing rain. We’ve had some solid performances with SW flow events recently, if the initial thump last 6-8 hours I think 10” is attainable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Well, I had about enough of this. I’m gonna go watch hijack on Apple TV channels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Gfs still not really backing down slight shift north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Lucy Pull said: Gfs still not really backing down slight shift north. It’s getting that sweet recon data. But the GFS is still the GFS. It’s more likely than not to let us down in the end. I’ve seen this movie too many times before. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM still showing that really nice thump before any change to IP. The GFS will figure it out 6Z Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It’s getting that sweet recon data. But the GFS is still the GFS. It’s more likely than not to let us down in the end. I’ve seen this movie too many times before. Watch, the gfs at the last minute will blast the sleet line farther north than any other guidance. It would be typical of this model. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago With regard to north of 78 euro, gfs, and icon aren’t that far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Overall except for the NAM doesn’t look so bad tonight. Maybe the GFS is the right one for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, mattinpa said: Overall except for the NAM doesn’t look so bad tonight. Maybe the GFS is the right one for a change. I’m sticking with my 6-10” idea, though leaning toward the lower end now. Still, get under the heavier rates and delay the changeover by an hour or two, 8” is still possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, JTA66 said: I’m sticking with my 6-10” idea, though leaning toward the lower end now. Still, get under the heavier rates and delay the changeover by an hour or two, 8” is still possible. I was thinking 10-12” before, but 7 to 8 may be more likely now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here.Here’s the real problem on the RRFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 48 minutes ago Author Share Posted 48 minutes ago CMC much colder. Big thumper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 37 minutes ago, Chadzachadam said: Call me crazy but I’ll go with 10” for my backyard plus maybe an inch of sleet on top. Don’t think we get any significant freezing rain. We’ve had some solid performances with SW flow events recently, if the initial thump last 6-8 hours I think 10” is attainable where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago 1 minute ago, MacChump said: where are you? NW Philly about 6 miles from center city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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