Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26

[Nibor]

Just now, MANDA said:

I’ll take my weather app for the win.

Some here are complaining about the NWS. But most normies I know get their info from stuff like this.

[SACRUS]

 

1/23 00z GGEM

 

[wxman]

3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

It didn't really hold serve in my view, it may a significant overall shift to the others.

It had almost the exact same evolution for 5 runs.  A touch warmer, noise...but in a Rorschach test, people see what they want.   

[psv88]

Just now, Snowlover11 said:

GFS has hardly budged. Either awfully hard or going to pull a massive W.

It did budge. It went north but got wetter so the amounts stayed the same. But it definitely budged 

[Snowlover11]

1 minute ago, MANDA said:

I’ll take my weather app for the win.

 Apple weather, total joke.

[SACRUS]

 

 

 

 

 

[JonClaw]

Last 4 runs of the GFS:

 

[MANDA]

2 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

 Apple weather, total joke.

We know that but does most of the regular public know that?

[greenmtnwx]

GFS is definitely folding. Slowly but surely. Doubt the NAM thermals at your own risk. We just learned that again last week. Not to mention we still have two days of possible shifts. Keep V-day 2007 in the back of your mind. Congrats DC went to congrats VT.

[MJO812]

Cmc is around 10 inches of snow for NYC with a huge thump and then alot of sleet. Jeez.

[SACRUS]

 

 

1/23 00z GGEM Total QPF storm:

 

 

Total snow / sleet (10:1)

[cleetussnow]

More room to go north and the last minute changes can be stunning. We won’t know until Saturday.  Not over yet.

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

00z Total QPF / Snow / Sleet
NYC

SREF:  1.3 /  (8.4)
NAM: 1.3 / (8.4)
RGEM: 1.4 / (8.6)
ICON: 1.3 / (7.5)
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.1 / ( )
GFS: 1.4 / (14.8)
GGEM: 1.5 / (8.2)
 

 

Updated

[MJO812]

Sleet is a pain in the ass to shovel.

[SnoSki14]

3 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

More room to go north and the last minute changes can be stunning. We won’t know until Saturday.  Not over yet.

And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top. 

[Franklin0529]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Sleet is a pain in the ass to shovel.

Yea it's damn heavy

[kat5hurricane]

Snow amounts haven't changed much in the 0z suite but the QPF has gone up so it's a lot more sleet. 6-10" of snow and a crapload of sleet is going to create skating rinks all over the tri-state with a frigid week following it. It's going to be treacherous

[cleetussnow]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top. 

We can hope to dry slot at the end

[kat5hurricane]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top. 

The trends are pretty clear and it's not colder. This might not be done trending yet

[SnoSki14]

14 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Yea these models are getting much much wetter. We are about to get smacked real good. Better get that ice melt!

More sleet and snow. Those rates before the transition could be insane (3-4"/hr)

[allgame830]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sleet is a pain in the ass to shovel.

The sleet will be on top of 8-12” of snow and on at the base so yes will be heavier to shovel but all good.

[SACRUS]

1/23 00z UKIE running

 

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

More sleet and snow. Those rates before the transition could be insane (3-4"/hr)

Yea I mentioned that earlier

[SACRUS]

[SACRUS]

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

[NorthShoreWx]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sleet is a pain in the ass to shovel.

So is 20" of snow with an inch and a half of water content.  

Which is heavier, a pound of feathers or a pound of rocks?

[SACRUS]

 

 

 

 

[SnoSki14]

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sleet is a pain in the ass to shovel.

This will be the longest stretch of snow on the ground that I can remember. And that sleet will form a glacier essentially 

[SACRUS]