KChuck Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 47 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Ditto to the RIP! Did not know this either. I’m kinda in the same boat outside of winter. Unless there’s some crazy severe weather outbreak I don’t normally pop back in until mid to late fall when we can start seeing the monthlies of winter and long term outlook. Nice to see you posting though. I know you’ve been here for quite awhile as well. Appreciate both of you guys as well as all of the other current and former old timers!!! I don't post as much as I give myself credit for knowing enough to be dangerous. I miss a bunch of the old timers with good amateur knowledge of weather situations. I went thru the time when newbies knew more than the pros and made sure that the pros knew it. Result was the pros said adios. I wish during big events like this that the powers that be could pin a discussion thread and set it so that only the more knowledgeable amateurs and pros would be allowed to post when crunch time hit. Anyway, enough of my sentimentality. Carry on... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looking a tad bit slower at 81h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 87h... moderate snow over most of NC... sleet line SLIGHTLY further south than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago AIGFS ticked north again.. not sure when the ticks will stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS colder, better wedging, 1036mb into central NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago At 99h, I am not seeing a north trend with respect to the mix line. Precip isn't quite as heavy though... we are not going to see the 2-3' Kuchera totals like last run most likely Biggest shift is it is a bit slower bringing in the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago At 93h, I am not seeing a north trend with respect to mixing. Precip isn't quite as heavy though... we are not going to see the 2-3' Kuchera totals like last run most likelyDo you see the precip field to the west? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Teens in all of NC at hour 102, freezing temps down to south of Macon GA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, WiseWeather said: Do you see the precip field to the west? . the initial WAA thump was lighter... At 111 total snowfall is around a foot in the Triad before the flip At 108, sleet line to NC/VA border. Taking on a more SW/NE trajectory versus 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I have a feeling we are far from a final solution with this one.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Much more of a coastal look on 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Snow turning to rain here on the 00z GFS. I feel the trend is real. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Thrasher Fan said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago CMC is a big jump north. It relegates significant snow north of an axis from about Roanoke to Richmond, VA. Not loving the trends on the 00z suite so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Onward march northward. Must be crazy sleet with this run here in Lake Norman area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z would have me buying candles if I live anywhere in SC or GA. Trends have not changed much for a crippling ZR event and we're creeping inside of 72 hours. Man the sails and secure the hatches lads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z CMC is awful. Way to warm for most. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago These are not the droids you're looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago It can’t get any worse can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z CMC is awful. Way to warm for most. What does that even mean? Snow or rain zr? Explanation? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, lilj4425 said: It can’t get any worse can it? Stay tuned for the EURO. The Who were wrong. We might've gotten fooled again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Something to note on that 0z GFS run... https://x.com/MassachusettsWx/status/2013808206854709486?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I am fine with anything other than a ton of freezing rain-bringing down power lines where ever that occurs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: What does that even mean? Snow or rain zr? Explanation? Mostly sleet and ZR for most of the forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowberd Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Something to note on that 0z GFS run... https://x.com/MassachusettsWx/status/2013808206854709486?s=20Greenville/Spartanburg gets shut out completely with this run. 1.6" snow, and dry? Didn't see that coming since the Euro ghosted us . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1bert1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, lilj4425 said: Not sure honestly. Lookout stopped posting a long time ago and I am not sure where Wow is. He’s usually here. Maybe they moved? I remember Lookout from when this forum was eastern weather. Time flies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, AGardiner87 said: https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1UvEdSwHPY/?mibextid=wwXIfr Brad P’s current thoughts. Brad P is one of the best in the business. I used to live off every model run and bought into many fantasy storms and extreme solutions that Brad never budged on..even when other mets bought the hype. He nailed it everytime. Some don't like his conservative forecasting but he calls it as it is. It was a humbling reminder that most of us here are amateur fanatics and there is more to forecasting than flip flopping model runs. So when he's bullish on a storm, there's something there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick Esasky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Snowberd said: Greenville/Spartanburg gets shut out completely with this run. 1.6" snow, and dry? Didn't see that coming since the Euro ghosted us . Haven't seen a sleet map posted but pretty sure GSP would have plenty of sleet this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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