January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[olafminesaw]

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

Very little change in the upper levels 

Yep, no big changes so far, just a tick north

[olafminesaw]

Earlier phasing and East. Should be a big run with a stout HP well placed

[SUNYGRAD]

creates more moisture over NC earlier.  

[CentralNC]

Never seen Raleigh this confident 4 days out

NCZ021-210900-
Forsyth-
Including the city of Winston-Salem
408 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026

.TONIGHT...Clear, cold with lows around 18. North winds around
5 mph this evening, becoming light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool with lows in the
lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly
cloudy with a chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds around 5 mph, becoming north after midnight. Chance of
rain 40 percent.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
mid 40s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow
in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Much colder
with lows around 20. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
.SATURDAY...Snow. Light snow accumulation. Much colder. Near
steady temperature in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 90 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow, cold with lows around 15. Chance of snow
near 100 percent. Wind chill values as low as zero.
.SUNDAY...Snow likely, mainly in the morning. Cold with highs in
the upper 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Wind chill values as
low as zero.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow in the
evening, then mostly cloudy after midnight. Cold with lows 10 to
15. Chance of snow 50 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows zero to 5 above
zero. Highs in the lower 30s.

[franklin NCwx]

Gfs AI would be a lot of snow to sleet for  NC

[Maggie Valley Steve]

We're going to get Winter RECON sampling the upper low ENE of Hawaii tomorrow with additional Atmospheric River sampling over the Eastern Pacific for the moisture headed our way. 

[franklin NCwx]

Gfs will be another good run for NC

[Brick Tamland]

GFS staying all snow so far from Wake north.

[BooneWX]

Little bit of Baja is fine, just not too much.

[Brick Tamland]

Snow line actually goes a little bit south at hour 99 on the GFS.

[HWY316wx]

Our snow run from the 12Z is gone here in GA on the front end, its all sleet and ZR.  Might be a good snow run for NC crew but it is hot garbage here compared to the 12Z.  Upper layers much warmer.

 

 

 

[eyewall]

 No way that sleet line stays locked like that unfortunately. Still even a third of those totals would make me happy. 

[NorthHillsWx]

Gfs wetter and more amped but just a tick north. Actually colder at surface in most of NC. 

[wake4est]

This is a monster run

[eyewall]

Through 12z Sunday:

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

 No way that sleet line stays locked like that unfortunately. Still even a third of those totals would make me happy. 

If we stay all frozen we will pass the assignment (6”). There’s so much QPF it might be 4” snow 4” of sleet. That’s a major passing grade with temps around 20 

[Brick Tamland]

GFS snow line finally goes north into Wake at hour 111.

[NorthHillsWx]

GFS says you gotta smell the sleet to jackpot. Plausible on that front 

[Snow dog]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

Through 12z Sunday:

Well, the northern trend is going to put us upstate folks in the dreaded ice zone.  That’ll really suck losing power for 2 weeks…

[SnowDawg]

Not great for N GA there. Even surface thermals were way warmer earlier in run. That phase will pump the heights out ahead.

[wake4est]

33” kuchera for gso 

[NorthHillsWx]

This run is epic

[Snow dog]

1 minute ago, Snow dog said:

Well, the northern trend is going to put us upstate folks in the dreaded ice zone.  That’ll really suck losing power for 2 weeks…

I think I’ll keeping praying for a more northern track.  Would MUCH rather have cold rain than what it’s showing imby right now..

[eyewall]

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

GFS says you gotta smell the sleet to jackpot. Plausible on that front 

Oh yeah always heavy rates just north of the mix line.

[NorthHillsWx]

Approaching 3” QPF in piedmont NC. All frozen. Epic 

[Brick Tamland]

Hour 123 looks like it's breaking up in NC and then it fills back in for at least 6 more hours.

[ADB83]

I mean there’s so much moisture here. This is going to be epic. Snow or ice. Snow and ice. Ice. Either way, all the overused hyperbolic adjectives like “historic” might apply here 

[wake4est]

What in the world is happening 

[Brick Tamland]

Still going into Monday. At least 48 hours of frozen precip for most of NC.

[BornAgain13]

Wow guys just wow. If only this was right.