olafminesaw Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Very little change in the upper levels Yep, no big changes so far, just a tick north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Earlier phasing and East. Should be a big run with a stout HP well placed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 creates more moisture over NC earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Never seen Raleigh this confident 4 days out NCZ021-210900- Forsyth- Including the city of Winston-Salem 408 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026 .TONIGHT...Clear, cold with lows around 18. North winds around 5 mph this evening, becoming light and variable. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool with lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 5 mph, becoming north after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent. .FRIDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Much colder with lows around 20. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .SATURDAY...Snow. Light snow accumulation. Much colder. Near steady temperature in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 90 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow, cold with lows around 15. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Wind chill values as low as zero. .SUNDAY...Snow likely, mainly in the morning. Cold with highs in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Wind chill values as low as zero. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow in the evening, then mostly cloudy after midnight. Cold with lows 10 to 15. Chance of snow 50 percent. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows zero to 5 above zero. Highs in the lower 30s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Gfs AI would be a lot of snow to sleet for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 We're going to get Winter RECON sampling the upper low ENE of Hawaii tomorrow with additional Atmospheric River sampling over the Eastern Pacific for the moisture headed our way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Gfs will be another good run for NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 GFS staying all snow so far from Wake north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Little bit of Baja is fine, just not too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Snow line actually goes a little bit south at hour 99 on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Our snow run from the 12Z is gone here in GA on the front end, its all sleet and ZR. Might be a good snow run for NC crew but it is hot garbage here compared to the 12Z. Upper layers much warmer. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 No way that sleet line stays locked like that unfortunately. Still even a third of those totals would make me happy. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Gfs wetter and more amped but just a tick north. Actually colder at surface in most of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 This is a monster run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Through 12z Sunday: 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, eyewall said: No way that sleet line stays locked like that unfortunately. Still even a third of those totals would make me happy. If we stay all frozen we will pass the assignment (6”). There’s so much QPF it might be 4” snow 4” of sleet. That’s a major passing grade with temps around 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 GFS snow line finally goes north into Wake at hour 111. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 GFS says you gotta smell the sleet to jackpot. Plausible on that front 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, eyewall said: Through 12z Sunday: Well, the northern trend is going to put us upstate folks in the dreaded ice zone. That’ll really suck losing power for 2 weeks… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Not great for N GA there. Even surface thermals were way warmer earlier in run. That phase will pump the heights out ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 33” kuchera for gso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 This run is epic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Snow dog said: Well, the northern trend is going to put us upstate folks in the dreaded ice zone. That’ll really suck losing power for 2 weeks… I think I’ll keeping praying for a more northern track. Would MUCH rather have cold rain than what it’s showing imby right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS says you gotta smell the sleet to jackpot. Plausible on that front Oh yeah always heavy rates just north of the mix line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Approaching 3” QPF in piedmont NC. All frozen. Epic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Hour 123 looks like it's breaking up in NC and then it fills back in for at least 6 more hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I mean there’s so much moisture here. This is going to be epic. Snow or ice. Snow and ice. Ice. Either way, all the overused hyperbolic adjectives like “historic” might apply here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 What in the world is happening 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Still going into Monday. At least 48 hours of frozen precip for most of NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Wow guys just wow. If only this was right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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