8611Blizz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Hope the NAM is onto something. The cutoff is knife edge sharp though... don't want that to slide even 20 miles south or I'm back to the heavy dusting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a pretty solid advisory event for eastern third….maybe even flirting with low end warning type stuff in far SE MA NAM is showing like 0.4-0.5”. Yeah solid advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: RRFS looks like it’s coming NW.. Didn’t you say it was already pretty far NW earlier…must be zonked now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: NAM is showing like 0.4-0.5”. Yeah solid advisory. Man, if we could get a last second trend of trying to curl this vortmax under SNE, we could escalate the totals pretty quick. Only problem with such a fine trigger is it doesn’t take much to make this a whiff in the other direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Didn’t you say it was already pretty far NW earlier…mist be zonked now Yes not like AIs, 18z RRFS looked like 00z Nam , 00z RRFS looks to be much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3k not as enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Lol It's just unreal.....always north, south, east or west..too close to the ocean or too far. Absolutely, positively unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, if we could get a last second trend of trying to curl this vortmax under SNE, we could escalate the totals pretty quick. Only problem with such a fine trigger is it doesn’t take much to make this a whiff in the other direction. It is a delicate setup no doubt. See what the rest of guidance does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago I don't know if I slept with Mother Nature on a dunrken bender 20 years ago and never called her back, or what...but I apologize 1000 times...holy shit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's just unreal.....always north, south, east or west..too close to the ocean or too far. Absolutely, positively unreal. I mean it’s not like you’d be missing much from either event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago euro will have the big nw move next tonight or never for this storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Yes not like AIs, 18z RRFS looked like 00z Nam , 00z RRFS looks to be much better Does the roofus have 500mb vorticity graphics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't know if I slept with Mother Nature on a dunrken bender 20 years ago and never called her back, or what...but I apologize 1000 times...holy shit. Time for some blood-letting to the gods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: I mean it’s not like you’d be missing much from either event. No, truth be told I'd prefer to pass on the 2", but it's just insult to injury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Does the roofus have 500mb vorticity graphics? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Yeah, she comin in hot too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah look at that vortmax. Much better on the 00z run. That’s what we need to watch. If you can allow that to stay more consolidated with a bit of H5 curl, you can escalate things pretty fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah look at that vortmax. Much better on the 00z run. That’s what we need to watch. If you can allow that to stay more consolidated with a bit of H5 curl, you can escalate things pretty fast. Ya RRFS is nice looks like AI output , like you said close to much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Could we also be seeing some latent heat release out of the gulf? This thing is forming a low down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ICON not as robust with the vorticity but definitely made a positive trend from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RRFS gets warning snows to HVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago my forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Like I told Ray 10 20 pages ago or whenever the hell it was we’ve been correcting shit west all season. Not saying that’s gonna happen. Just I wouldn’t be surprised. Far be it for anybody in this NOAA administration to come up with an argument of flying special sound emissions in the western Atlantic to see what it would do if we dumped a bunch of latent heat into that region… Gotta be careful with the nam though because it’s got a northwest bias in Western Atlanta at this time range Just some pros and cons 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: RRFS gets warning snows to HVN Looked like it had some banding showing up on our side of CT....its probably wrong, but something fun to look at. I looked at the 18z EURO, even that run the whole system looked a little different than just some strung out system racing off shore. Who knows, guess we can sit back and hope this whole thing pulls a surprise, sort of luke that storm from 2000? Cant remember the date to be honest.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM with a pretty sizable tick east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago You can see how the 12km really curls the tail of the vortmax in at 48hr versus what the icon and rgem do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east. East and weak. Went from borderline warning for a lot of SNE to low end advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: RGEM with a pretty sizable tick east lol It has tomorrows snow so much further east too , weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: RGEM with a pretty sizable tick east lol Was the furthest west model, so not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now