Storm potential January 17th-18th

[WeatherGeek2025]

10 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Last time I saw snowman19 basically go all in was several days before Jan 2016.  Ended up pretty decent lol 

so he got one storm right in 10 years

[Rjay]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

so he got one storm right in 10 years

He's gotten plenty right and plenty wrong.  Basically he's like everyone else except he's the "anti-weenie".

[weatherpruf]

10 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

so he got one storm right in 10 years

forky too. but let's face it, not much has gone our way the last few years, so we gotta take what we get. its why i made sure to get some photos in december for those small events, because that could be it. still a ways to go this winter and we should see something again, but those years of 50 inch winters are over it seems, and i ain't getting younger.

[Rjay]

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

forky too. but let's face it, not much has gone our way the last few years, so we gotta take what we get. its why i made sure to get some photos in december for those small events, because that could be it. still a ways to go this winter and we should see something again, but those years of 50 inch winters are over it seems, and i ain't getting younger.

Forky gets a lot more right than wrong

[WeatherGeek2025]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

He's gotten plenty right and plenty wrong.  Basically he's like everyone else except he's the "anti-weenie".

that's fair, what's funny to me is he trolls us we all know it he gets a kick out of it cause he's probably young. Keep on trolling snowman if you're reading this! you anti snow  you! 

on another note, hopefully tomorrow over performs cause it looks like Sunday is gone  

[Snowman92]

Hello all,

Wanted to say hi, usually am a lurker honestly unless we have something huge. Been watching storms and been on forums talking with everybody since the accuweather forums back in the day.

[MJO812]

13 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Hello all,

Wanted to say hi, usually am a lurker honestly unless we have something huge. Been watching storms and been on forums talking with everybody since the accuweather forums back in the day.

Another snowman

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Another snowman

this one is not anti

 

welcome...

[Snowman92]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Another snowman

One of the very originals from 2008

[sussexcountyobs]

Incoming 2-4" snow late tonight and tomorrow. Forecast low here is mid 2p's.

Already down to 22.1°

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

One of the very originals from 2008

Welcome 

[Brasiluvsnow]

1 hour ago, Rjay said:

Last time I saw snowman19 basically go all in was several days before Jan 2016.  Ended up pretty decent lol 

Its like spotting a BIGFOOT 

[coastalplainsnowman]

2 hours ago, Rjay said:

He's gotten plenty right and plenty wrong.  Basically he's like everyone else except he's the "anti-weenie".

Anyone here remember channel surfing 35-40 years ago to hear what everyone was saying about an incoming snowstorm, and there were always one or two guys who seemed to always be on the conservative side, almost sounded happy to announce that a storm was going to miss, or especially turn to 'plain rain' etc?  Couldn't stand when they sounded happy.  But you always wanted to see what those guys were saying, because on the rare occasions when they were talking big potential amounts you knew then that we could have something real on our hands.

[WeatherGeek2025]

i think this will over perform tomorrow, sunday looks like a flop look at all that moisture

[MJO812]

Nam has nothing for NYC and immediate burbs tomorrow

[wishcast_hater]

Nam has nothing for NYC and immediate burbs tomorrow

As in no precip?


.

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

As in no precip?


.

Yep

[MJO812]

Here comes the Nam for Sunday. Way amped

[MJO812]

[EastonSN+]

Weird solution 

[Franklin0529]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Here comes the Nam for Sunday. Way amped

It's always amped an usually wrong 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Weird solution 

Very nice

2-4 inches

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

It's always amped an usually wrong 

I mean it matches the Euro AI, rgem and AI gfs.

[WeatherGeek2025]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I mean it matches the Euro AI, rgem and AI gfs.

i think euro caves tonight and shows at least a few inches for sunday for the city

[MJO812]

Still snowing in Long Island and SNE 

[Franklin0529]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I mean it matches the Euro AI, rgem and AI gfs.

I need to see more then AI. 

[snywx]

1 hour ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Incoming 2-4" snow late tonight and tomorrow. Forecast low here is mid 2p's.

Already down to 22.1°

Nice moderate event on tap for the interior tomorrow. 0z NAM is a nice 3-4” for 84 corridor in OC 

[RU848789]

6 hours ago, mob1 said:

NAM is terrible for Sunday. Looks like NW areas get hit pretty good on Saturday and Sunday is a miss.

 

Ah well, at least someone should getting some snow on Saturday. 

Just wait 6 hours, lol - and for the inclusion of the flight data...big move NW for the NAM - this is all round 2 through the end...

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

my forecast

 

 

[the_other_guy]

I dont like the cutoff and I dont like that we keep moving that cutoff a few miles in each direction. This storm has lots of downside and not much upside for Riverhead west.