mattinpa Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM Yes the big blizzard shown was very likely unrealistic but wouldn’t count out a SECS just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM nam looks tasty for saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM Nam comes in early either temps below freezing. Too bad its the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted yesterday at 02:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:50 AM NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM 5 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is You'll buy what the nam is selling at 100hrs but not the GFS? Are you sure you an weenie man I mean snowman 19 aren't the same people 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM 16 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: NAM has almost Nothing for Sunday. Not a great sign considering how over amped the nam usually is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted yesterday at 03:13 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:13 AM ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted yesterday at 03:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:16 AM ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue Trended west just like the Euro. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted yesterday at 03:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:16 AM 2 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue It took a pretty good size jump west. You do realize the storm is still 4 days away right? Every model has been trending west. Not saying a GFS blizzard is on the table. But a few Inches certainly isn't out of the question 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:17 AM 3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: ICON has a storm just offshore. But verbatim there’s nothing for most of us. Very similar to its last run. Light snow with a larger storm offshore. Aside from the GFS, that seems to be the consensus for now. Trough struggles to turn negative. Therein lies the issue 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 03:23 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:23 AM So far everything ticked a little better at 0z. That's better than the opposite. Looks like a burst of snow or rain on Sat. and a close call for something Sunday. Still a little time to trend better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:28 AM Rgem is much more amped for sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 03:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:37 AM 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem is much more amped for sunday Yeah, it looks really good. An improvement over the 12z GDPS. It's a little faster than the 18z GFS, but actually a little west of it at the surface. That's a plowable snowfall incoming on the model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted yesterday at 03:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:43 AM 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem is much more amped for sunday Just a of miles N Just a few miles off from a VERY tasty looking FGEN band verbatim too. Very, very fickle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM AI GFS and GFS are coming in more amped. This should be west of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 03:53 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:53 AM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: AI GFS and GFS are coming in more amped. This should be west of 18z. way west on gfs ai 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 03:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:55 AM Going to be more Gulf inflow on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 03:57 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:57 AM this will be a big hit i think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: this will be a big hit i think Not really but a nice snow event . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM lol it's gonna do it again. telling ya, this ain't done with west adjustments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 04:01 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:01 AM Just now, MJO812 said: Not really but a nice snow event . better than 18z and this may not be done w/ west trends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 04:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:01 AM Starts west but dampens at h5 and slides east. A nice run but not 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 04:02 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:02 AM Just now, eduggs said: Starts west but dampens at h5 and slides east. A nice run but not 12z. better than 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted yesterday at 04:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:03 AM A nice 2-4” event for most. I’d take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 04:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:05 AM 2 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: A nice 2-4” event for most. I’d take it More for LI. And could be solid ratios too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 04:06 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:06 AM Just now, eduggs said: More for LI. And could be solid ratios too. i don't think this is done trending west, though other models may be stubborn on the west trend i think gfs is leading with this and trends more west reminds me of nemo, but the opposite instead of east it's west don't tell that to ne crew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted yesterday at 04:07 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:07 AM GFS is more then 2-4 for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 04:09 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:09 AM Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: i don't think this is done trending west, though other models may be stubborn on the west trend i think gfs is leading with this and trends more west reminds me of nemo, but the opposite instead of east it's west don't tell that to ne crew Yeah plenty of time to shift either way. I'd like to see the trof a little sharper so the SLP tracks with more of a north component than east. That would also strengthen the SLP and mid-level lows to wrap more moisture west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 04:10 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:10 AM Just now, eduggs said: Yeah plenty of time to shift either way. I'd like to see the trof a little sharper so the SLP tracks with more of a north component than east. That would also strengthen the SLP and mid-level lows to wrap more moisture west. so gfs says basically no snow for saturday for the city i don't mind can we get this trend another 50-100 miles precip expansion and bm track and we are golden 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 04:11 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:11 AM Cmc way west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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