WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Heinous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 This summer has been cruel and it looks like that will continue. Just shoot me now. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Last chance of rain likely for the month today and I’m sitting about 3” below normal (just 1.52”). If we don’t get a flood today (unlikely) then that will be 11 of last 12 months BN precipitation here. Only saving grace is we received about 4 months worth of rain in July! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 37 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Last chance of rain likely for the month today and I’m sitting about 3” below normal (just 1.52”). If we don’t get a flood today (unlikely) then that will be 11 of last 12 months BN precipitation here. Only saving grace is we received about 4 months worth of rain in July! We got missed entirely the last two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlGrey Posted August 30 Share Posted August 30 I hope this upcoming week is the last throws of summer! I’m ready to drink an Oktoberfest and it don’t feel right to drink that when it 100 outside. Anyway, AN and possibly records broken this upcoming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 30 Share Posted August 30 Summer won’t last forever 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted August 30 Author Share Posted August 30 5 hours ago, EarlGrey said: I hope this upcoming week is the last throws of summer! I’m ready to drink an Oktoberfest and it don’t feel right to drink that when it 100 outside. Anyway, AN and possibly records broken this upcoming week. I drank two the other night. I turned the air down to 66 and closed the blinds. Worked like charm. 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 I was surprised to find that the last time GSO exceeded 95 in September was in 1990. Seems likely we will do so this week. If we manage to hit 98 it will be the first time since 1975 and 99, the first time since 1954 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: I was surprised to find that the last time GSO exceeded 95 in September was in 1990. Seems likely we will do so this week. If we manage to hit 98 it will be the first time since 1975 and 99, the first time since 1954 Wow. Didn’t remember 1990 being that hot. My wife and I had our first date at Clemson’s opening game that season. Guess I was smitten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Hope 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 5 hours ago, olafminesaw said: I was surprised to find that the last time GSO exceeded 95 in September was in 1990. Seems likely we will do so this week. If we manage to hit 98 it will be the first time since 1975 and 99, the first time since 1954 GSO’s average high is below 85 now, so reaching 95 is a huge deal! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 1 hour ago, Upstate Tiger said: Wow. Didn’t remember 1990 being that hot. My wife and I had our first date at Clemson’s opening game that season. Guess I was smitten It was a very brief heatwave that occurred later in the month. 1921 on the other hand! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 The CanSIPS monthly model run recently came out for September and it is still indicating lower heights generally in December thru March centering generally in lower Mississippi valley-----extending east. What is interesting is the last 3 runs or so have lowered heights some in the same general area. What that means at this point? Hard to say, but if you also look at precip for same period, it continues to show a possible active storm track, which includes the Carolinas. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 Also of note, the record max-min (highest low temp) for GSO in the month of September is 74 and our forecast low for Wed/Thurs night is set to break that (75 and 76 per NWS forecast) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 5 hours ago, SUNYGRAD said: The CanSIPS monthly model run recently came out for September and it is still indicating lower heights generally in December thru March centering generally in lower Mississippi valley-----extending east. What is interesting is the last 3 runs or so have lowered heights some in the same general area. What that means at this point? Hard to say, but if you also look at precip for same period, it continues to show a possible active storm track, which includes the Carolinas. Last few winters have been generally good across the SE with some caveats. Are we still capable of pulling off a blockbuster? Remains to be seen… but we are due for one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 Looks like my posts about extreme heat have aged well after all 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 2 hours ago, BooneWX said: Last few winters have been generally good across the SE with some caveats. Are we still capable of pulling off a blockbuster? Remains to be seen… but we are due for one. I was involved in a caveat from last season… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 4 hours ago, BooneWX said: Last few winters have been generally good across the SE with some caveats. Are we still capable of pulling off a blockbuster? Remains to be seen… but we are due for one. I'd say Charlotte and several others getting a foot of snow last year was pretty dang good not to mention having back to back weekends with winter weather which we've not seen in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 31 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I'd say Charlotte and several others getting a foot of snow last year was pretty dang good not to mention having back to back weekends with winter weather which we've not seen in years. I’m craving an 09/10 repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: I was involved in a caveat from last season… My bad for the bad memories. I am rooting for you guys to get the hammer this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 With this super el Nino we should probably expect the unexpected. Just need cold and subtropical jet to meet up one time and we could be looking at Jan 2016 or December 2009 redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 27 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Elevation matters in marginal cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: This map isn't accurate, the AI model the CanSIPS was fed into has no basis to forecast snowfall as it's just an image model tool (all it knows is the images it was trained on). Here's an accurate version. https://x.com/wallcloud/status/2094933250602893475 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 2 Author Share Posted September 2 I may be wrong but cansips tends to have a warm bias, so this perked my interest for sure. As we’ve all said, all it takes is one storm outside of the mountains to make or break a season. I’ve got a hunch we have a rather warm winter but somehow still make or break above avg snowfall for many areas with just one well timed shot of cold air and an active storm track. Source regions will be key. My hunch is that we don’t build adequate snowpack over Canada but from that same token, does the El Niño pop a hell of a ridge on the west coast? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 On 9/1/2026 at 3:46 PM, wncsnow said: Looks like my posts about extreme heat have aged well after all Question i thought you got some snow this past winter ?? just noticed that lol Past 18 winters snowfall for 3 Miles W Marion, NC Elevation 1,250 ft 2004-2005= 3" 2005-2006=T 2006-2007=.5" 2007-2008=3.5" 2008-2009=1.5" 2009-2010= 29.2" 2010-2011=19" 2011-2012=T 2012-2013=T 2013-2014= 11" 2014-2015= 8", 1.5 IP 2015-2016= 13" 2016-2017= 9.5" 2017-2018= 14.5 " 2018-2019= 13" 2019-2020= .5" 2020-2021= 5.5" 2021-2022= 11.5'' 2022-2023=0 2023-2024-0 2024-2025-2.5" 2025-2026-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 hour ago, mclean02 said: Question i thought you got some snow this past winter ?? just noticed that lol Past 18 winters snowfall for 3 Miles W Marion, NC Elevation 1,250 ft 2004-2005= 3" 2005-2006=T 2006-2007=.5" 2007-2008=3.5" 2008-2009=1.5" 2009-2010= 29.2" 2010-2011=19" 2011-2012=T 2012-2013=T 2013-2014= 11" 2014-2015= 8", 1.5 IP 2015-2016= 13" 2016-2017= 9.5" 2017-2018= 14.5 " 2018-2019= 13" 2019-2020= .5" 2020-2021= 5.5" 2021-2022= 11.5'' 2022-2023=0 2023-2024-0 2024-2025-2.5" 2025-2026-0 Thanks for reminding me I didnt update it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 21 hours ago, olafminesaw said: They have not accounted for the Wake County dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 hour ago, eyewall said: They have not accounted for the Wake County dry slot. For kicks and giggles I asked copilot for a snowfall forecast and this is what it gave me. No wake county dry slot per se but realistically paints the near misses that define El Ninos in the carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 38 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: For kicks and giggles I asked copilot for a snowfall forecast and this is what it gave me. No wake county dry slot per se but realistically paints the near misses that define El Ninos in the carolinas According to that map San Francisco and LA will have a snowy and icy winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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