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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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As temps and sun angle increase through spring, so does evaporation. Also, vegetation coming out of dormancy increases water uptake from soil. So 1/2” in winter goes a lot further than 1/2” in summer. Couple this with increasing water usage for lawns, In other words, we’re in trouble with a rapidly worsening drought. This is when we will see lake levels start to plummet. We need repeated widespread 1-3” rains to make a serious dent at this point 

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50 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Euro model run 3 days apart. Yikes. 

qpf_acc-imp.us_ma (42).png

qpf_acc-imp.us_ma (41).png

And to make matters worse all of the rain it’s showing now is from afternoon popup storms which are highly variable and not super beneficial for regional drought relief. Thunderstorm roulette in the afternoon is not where you wanna be to break severe+ drought conditions 

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5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

And to make matters worse all of the rain it’s showing now is from afternoon popup storms which are highly variable and not super beneficial for regional drought relief. Thunderstorm roulette in the afternoon is not where you wanna be to break severe+ drought conditions 

Yep we are in big trouble. There is a significant fire about 6 miles away from my house. 

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