wncsnow Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Still looking dry the next 10 days at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 I had hope that the cold front on Friday would at least bring some showers but it is looking more and more anemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 40 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: I had hope that the cold front on Friday would at least bring some showers but it is looking more and more anemic. The death ridge in early April won't help either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 90% of the SE is in at least moderate drought for the first time since the drought monitor data began in 2000. Other years had more coverage of severe drought (2012, 2007, 2002), but the overall drought coverage is unprecedented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 16 days worth of rain on the Euro. This is bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 3 hours ago, wncsnow said: 16 days worth of rain on the Euro. This is bad. Yall cooked cuz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 Enjoying my green lawn for the next week while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Drought going to worsen to “Extreme” category for much of NC given recent trends and where we already are. Truly could be a historic summertime drought unless El Niño effects hurry up. Scary going into summer with drought status where it is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 It isn't just us. Much of the West is in real trouble with all time record low snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Some positive trends today with signs that the front may stall late next week and we could get some actual widespread rainfall. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 12 hours ago, wncsnow said: Some positive trends today with signs that the front may stall late next week and we could get some actual widespread rainfall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Models are drying out for later this week. Shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 8 hours ago, wncsnow said: Models are drying out for later this week. Shocker. Lock it in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 26 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Lock it in We need more than that. Better than nothing I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 .5 to 1 inch ain't gonna do much long term. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I have a feeling we will start to see that extreme drought cover more real estate in the next few weeks and some exceptional areas pop up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 As temps and sun angle increase through spring, so does evaporation. Also, vegetation coming out of dormancy increases water uptake from soil. So 1/2” in winter goes a lot further than 1/2” in summer. Couple this with increasing water usage for lawns, In other words, we’re in trouble with a rapidly worsening drought. This is when we will see lake levels start to plummet. We need repeated widespread 1-3” rains to make a serious dent at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Euro model run 3 days apart. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 50 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro model run 3 days apart. Yikes. And to make matters worse all of the rain it’s showing now is from afternoon popup storms which are highly variable and not super beneficial for regional drought relief. Thunderstorm roulette in the afternoon is not where you wanna be to break severe+ drought conditions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: And to make matters worse all of the rain it’s showing now is from afternoon popup storms which are highly variable and not super beneficial for regional drought relief. Thunderstorm roulette in the afternoon is not where you wanna be to break severe+ drought conditions Yep we are in big trouble. There is a significant fire about 6 miles away from my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yep we are in big trouble. There is a significant fire about 6 miles away from my house. There were over 100 active fires in NC yesterday. Entire state is a tinder box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpbart Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 54 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: There were over 100 active fires in NC yesterday. Entire state is a tinder box Good luck brother. Fire is no joke, I hope you and your family avoid any fire issues and remain safe & sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Overnight models again trended lower with precip over next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Whole states going to be in super drought and burning up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 31 Author Share Posted March 31 I’ll jump on the big yikes bandwagon. It’s been so dry that even a week into restarting my irrigation on the lawn, it’s still dormant for the most part and in mid winter form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 12z GFS is under 1” total rainfall for almost the entire state of NC and most of SC and almost all that comes from a FROPA in about a week. Not good. Mountain areas do look to have semi consistent afternoon storms though that could help but there just aren’t any large scale storms to help region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: 12z GFS is under 1” total rainfall for almost the entire state of NC and most of SC and almost all that comes from a FROPA in about a week. Not good. Mountain areas do look to have semi consistent afternoon storms though that could help but there just aren’t any large scale storms to help region wide This is giving me 2007 worries. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Exciting day for space enthusiasts tomorrow!Live updates: Will Artemis II launch tomorrow? Florida's weather outlook and mission status updatesLIVE UPDATES Last Update May 1, 2026 at 10:44 PM EDT NASA is targeting an April 1 launch for the historic Artemis II mission, with meteorologists currently tracking a favorable 80% "Go" weather forecast at Florida's Kennedy Space Center. Follow our live coverage for real-time radar analysis, countdown milestones, and the latest mission status as four astronauts prepare for humanity's first crewed journey to the Moon in over 50 years. https://www.foxweather.com/live-news/live-updates-will-artemis-ii-launch-tomorrow-florida-s-weather-outlook-and-mission-status-updates#google_vignette 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 euro total rainfall through mid April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 15 hours ago, GaWx said: Exciting day for space enthusiasts tomorrow!Live updates: Will Artemis II launch tomorrow? Florida's weather outlook and mission status updatesLIVE UPDATES Last Update May 1, 2026 at 10:44 PM EDT NASA is targeting an April 1 launch for the historic Artemis II mission, with meteorologists currently tracking a favorable 80% "Go" weather forecast at Florida's Kennedy Space Center. Follow our live coverage for real-time radar analysis, countdown milestones, and the latest mission status as four astronauts prepare for humanity's first crewed journey to the Moon in over 50 years. https://www.foxweather.com/live-news/live-updates-will-artemis-ii-launch-tomorrow-florida-s-weather-outlook-and-mission-status-updates#google_vignette You may get a glimpse of it down there if you get a clear view to the S and SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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